Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 12/8/24

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Miami Heat (10-10) vs Cleveland Cavaliers (21-3)

December 8, 2024 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +3.5 — Over/Under: 224.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Cavaliers pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers 

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the best team in the league with 21 wins from their first 24 games so far and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after blowing past the lowly Hornets in a 116-102 road win yesterday afternoon. Evan Mobley led the team with 41 points, 10 rebounds, and three blocks while Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell each scored 18 points. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 50 percent from the field and 14 of 38 from the 3-point line as they dominated from the start, outscoring the Hornets by 40-18 in the first quarter, which allowed them to cruise in the second half despite a late charge from the Hornets. 

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat are starting to gain some momentum as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall and they will be gunning for a third straight victory after taking down the Suns in a 121-111 home win last night. Bam Adebayo led the team with 25 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists, Jimmy Butler added 24 points with seven rebounds and four assists while Duncan Robinson chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Heat shot 52 percent from the field and 13 of 32 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with the Suns early on and trailed going into halftime before they dominated the second half by 68-53 to make it look easy in the end. 

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Cavaliers have won each of their last seven night games following a road win.
  • The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Central Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the Heat’s last 10 games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Cavaliers’ last five games as favorites following a road win has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank T2nd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (66.7%).
  • The Heat rank 3rd in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.8).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.3%).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.1).

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Cavaliers are still missing Craig Porter Jr and Isaac Okoro, while the Heat are coming into this one with a full roster. The Cavaliers have been the benchmark of the league since opening night and they made it look easy in their win over the Hornets yesterday, while the Heat are coming into this one fresh off a win over the Suns thanks to big games from Adebayo and Butler. It wouldn’t be shocking to see the Heat earn a statement win at home in this matchup, but the Cavaliers have clearly been the better, more consistent team and I think they represent decent value with the line so short in this one.

Peter Tran's Pick: Cleveland -3.5

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