Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 10/28/24

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Miami Heat (1-1) vs Detroit Pistons (0-3)

October 28, 2024 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -7.5 — Over/Under: 220.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat play host to the Detroit Pistons at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Pick.

Detroit Pistons 

The Detroit Pistons are still searching for their first win of the season, but they looked more than competitive in their 124-118 loss to the Celtics on Saturday. Jaden Ivey led the team with 26 points and six assists on 10 of 18 shooting, Cade Cunningham added 21 points with six rebounds and 10 assists while Malik Beasley chipped in with 17 points in just 20 minutes off the bench. As a team, the Pistons shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 39 from the 3-point line as they showed plenty of fight to claw their way back from a 23-point deficit and take the lead in the fourth quarter. However, they got outscored by 18-6 in the final 3:32 to allow the Celtics off the hook in a tight finish. 

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat will be eager to build some momentum after beating the Hornets in a 114-106 road win on Saturday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 26 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists, Tyler Herro added 22 points with five assists while Terry Rozier chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and 14 of 34 from the 3-point line as they hit their groove with 33 points in the second quarter to build a 14-point lead which was just enough to hold off a late rally from the Hornets who cut the lead to just three points late in the game. The Heat will face the Knicks following this game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pistons have lost each of their last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Heat’s last eight night games at Kaseya Center following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Pistons’ last five night games against the Heat following a home loss has gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Pistons are still missing Ausar Thompson, who is dealing with an illness, while the Heat are still without Kevin Love due to personal reasons. The Pistons would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their narrow loss to the red-hot Celtics in their last game, but it’s going to be tough to replicate that effort against this Heat team, who are coming off a decent road win. The Heat should be good enough to get the win at home, but this line is a little generous, and I think the Pistons have shown they can hang around and make themselves a pest with this line. 

Peter Tran's Pick: Detroit +7.5

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