LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction 3/12/25 College Basketball Picks

The LSU Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet on Wednesday in college basketball action at Bridgestone Arena. Here’s an LSU vs Mississippi State prediction. This article will include an LSU vs Mississippi State Pick.

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

The LSU Tigers (14-17, 14-17 ATS) have been struggling in 2025 and have been disastrous since the conference play began. The Tigers suffered 15 defeats and had just three wins in this calendar year and endured a seven-game losing streak, while they are currently on a five-game skid. That negative run started after a couple of wins over Oklahoma and South Carolina. LSU entered the conference tournament as the No. 15 seed.

LSU averages 74.2 PPG (176th) and allows 73.0 PPG (215th). The Tigers are 183rd in rebounds (35.7) and 273rd in assists (13.0). Cam Carter leads the team with 16.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG, a team-high 2.5 APG, and 1.2 SPG. Jordan Sears follows him with 12.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.5 APG, and a team-high 1.4 SPG, while Jalen Reed chips in 11.1 PPG, 6.5 RPG, and 1.0 BPG.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11, 14-17 ATS) have also not been impressive lately as they lost four defeats in the final five games of the regular season. The Bulldogs lost to Oklahoma, Alabama, Texas, and Arkansas while they beat LSU during that negative stretch. In those four defeats, Mississippi State allowed 87+ points. The Bulldogs ended in 9th position in the SEC Standings.

Mississippi State is averaging 79.6 PPG (49th) and is allowing 74.2 PPG (252nd). The Bulldogs are getting 38.1 RPG (57th) and dish out 15.3 APG (83rd). Josh Hubbard is the team’s top performer with 18.3 PPG, 2.3 RPG, and 3.3 APG. KeShawn Murphy has 11.6 PPG, a team-high 7.5 RPG, and a team-high 1.2 BPG, while Claudell Harris Jr. contributes 9.8 PPG and 2.9 RPG.

Why Mississippi State will beat LSU

• LSU has lost eight of its last nine night games against the Southeastern Conference.
• Mississippi State has won each of its last four games at Bridgestone Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last nine games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Each of LSU’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State ranks 34th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.8%).
• Mississippi State ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.6).

LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction

The rivals have been trading wins in recent H2H encounters as each recorded five over the last ten meetings. However, Mississippi State was better in the past four duels and covered all four in the process, while the Bulldogs covered six of the previous seven H2Hs. LSU has only covered the Spread in 13 of its last 33 games. Although I am not convinced with its defense, Mississippi has a more prolific offense and LSU is struggling on both ends of the floor, so I am backing the Bulldogs to win and cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Mississippi State -8.5