Texas State vs Troy Prediction 1/9/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texas State vs Troy Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, January 9th, at the Trojan Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Bobcats’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Trojans’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Troy

-Recent betting trends in games played between Texas State and Troy

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Bobcats and Trojans. 

The last two games played between these two teams have been won by Texas State. Last March, Texas State was able to secure the victory 74-68. 

Texas State is Struggling

Texas State is struggling heading into this game and they have lost three games in a row. Two games ago against Marshall, they lost 77-71 and in the last game against Appalachian State, they ended up losing 71-61. At halftime, they were down 38-30, and in the second half, they couldn’t score enough to come back. Tyrel Morgan was the top player for Texas State averaging 16 points, five rebounds, and one assist. Dylan Dawson put up 14 points, two rebounds, and two assists. 

Texas State is averaging 75.5 points while their defense is giving up 68.9 points per game. The offense is ranked 178th in the league while the defense is ranked 120th. They are shooting 47.2 percent from the field which is 82nd in the league. As a team, they are shooting 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. Forward Tyrel Morgan has been the top player for Texas State averaging 15.2 points while shooting 51.7 percent from the field and 36.7 percent from behind the three-point line. There are four different players that are averaging at least 10 points per game. 

Why Texas State Will Beat Troy

• Texas State has won three of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Troy Coming off a Close Victory

Troy faced off against Marshall in the last game and it was a close game, but they were able to secure a 58-57 victory. At halftime, they were down 31-19 but in the second half, they bounced back in a big way scoring 39 points on the way to the victory. Tayton Conerway was the top player putting up 20 points, for rebounds, and three assists. 

Troy on the season is averaging 73.7 points while their defense is giving up 65.4 points per game. The offense is ranked 231st in the league while the defense is ranked 48th. As a team, they are shooting 15.2 free throws per game. Myles Rigsby is averaging 12.1 points while shooting 45.8 percent from the field. Conerway is averaging 10.6 points per game while shooting 44.3 percent from the field and 30.4 percent from behind the three-point line. Troy will play against Arkansas State following this one.

Texas State vs Troy Prediction

Away from home, Texas State has not been good, and that is going to be a problem again in this game. Troy is averaging 73.7 points per game and this Texas State defense is going to be a problem. Texas State’s offense isn’t bad, but on the road, they are going to really struggle, and that will end up being the difference here. Troy is going to pick up the comfortable victory. Back Texas State against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Texas State +7