Missouri State vs Evansville Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/29/24

Pick details

Evansville (3-9) vs Missouri State (7-5)

December 29, 2024 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Evansville +2.5 / Missouri State -2.5 — Over/Under: 134.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Missouri State Bears are visiting the Evansville Purple Aces on Sunday, December 29th at the Ford Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri State Bears vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction.

Evansville Purple Aces Preview

The Evansville Purple Aces have a 3-9 record this season and are coming off a 43-80 loss to Ball State. The Purple Aces are 3-8 against the spread, and 3-8 in over/under, while having an 3-3 home record.

Offensively, Evansville is averaging 65.6 points per game, which ranks 341st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74.3 points per game (256th). The Purple Aces shoot 41.5% from the field (324th) and 28% from beyond the arc (355th). The Purple Aces shoot 66.1% from the free throw line (313th) and they are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game (331st).

Gabriel Pozzato leads Evansville in scoring this season, with an average of 15.4 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Cameron Haffner adds 12.8 points and 3.9 rebounds. Evansville will take on Southern Illinois after this game.

Missouri State Bears Preview

The Missouri State Bears have a 7-5 record this season and are coming off a 68-56 win over UC Santa Barbara. The Bears are 7-3 against the spread, and 4-6 in over/under while having a 1-2 road record.

Offensively, Missouri State is averaging 75 points per game, which ranks 199th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.8 points per game (200th). The Bears shoot 44.7% from the field (205th) and 37.7% from beyond the arc (46th). The Bears shoot 69.2% from the free-throw line (247th) and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game (218th).

Dez White leads Missouri State in scoring this season, with an average of 18.3 points and 3 rebounds, while Vincent Brady adds 13.6 points and 5 rebounds. Missouri State will face Valparaiso following this one.

Why the Evansville Purple Aces will win

  • The home team has won each of Missouri State’s last three games.
  • Evansville has won the first half in each of its last six day games at Ford Center.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

  • Missouri State has won each of its last six games against Evansville.
  • Evansville has lost nine of its last 10 games against the Missouri Valley Conference.
  • Missouri State has won the first half in each of its last six games against Evansville.

Missouri State Bears vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction

Missouri State is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Evansville, but they are 3-4 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings and in their most recent meeting last season, Missouri State won 74-64 on the road. In this Missouri State Bears vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction, Missouri State is coming as a -2.5 home favorite. Missouri State is better both offensively, scoring 9.4 points more than Evansville, and defensively, allowing 2.5 points less. The Bears are winning by an average of 3.2 points this season, while the Aces are losing by an average of 8.7 points. Evansville is a bottom-40 team in field goal percentage and bottom-10 in 3-point percentage, and Missouri State has been owning them in recent years, so take the Missouri State Bears and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Missouri State Bears -2.5

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