Green Bay Packers (2-1) vs Minnesota Vikings (3-0)
September 29, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Green Bay Packers -2.5 / Minnesota Vikings +2.5 — Over/Under: 46
The Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers meet Sunday in NFL action from the Lambeau Field. Here’s a Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Vikings vs Packers pick. We will examine:
The Minnesota Vikings’ recent form and player performance
The Green Bay Packers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Vikings
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Green Bay Packers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Vikings and Packers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Vikings vs Packers game
Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
Minnesota didn’t have a whole lot of trouble versus the New York Giants in their opener. The Vikings pulled off a decisive road win in that one, taking it 28-6. Game two against the San Francisco 49ers was much closer but still a Vikings win 23-17.
Last weekend versus the Texans, Minnesota held a 14-0 lead by halftime and eventually powered out a big win 34-7. Sam Darnold logged 181 yards with four touchdowns while Aaron Jones led the rush on 19 carries for 109 yards. Justin Jefferson caught six balls for 81 yards and a score.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
Over on the Packers’ side, they gave up 31 points across the second and third quarters during their opener versus the Philadelphia Eagles, resulting in a 34-29 loss. Green Bay was able to right the ship somewhat in week two versus the Colts, taking a 16-10 win.
Matched up against the Titans last weekend, the Packers jumped out to a 20-7 lead by the break. Green Bay scored 10 more points from there in a 30-14 win. Malik Willis finished with 202 passing yards and a TD while also leading the rush on 73 yards and another score off six totes.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Vikings’ last six games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Packers’ last six games as favorites against the Vikings have gone OVER the total points line.
- Three of the last four games between NFC North teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Jordan Love has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Packers’ last seven games against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 69+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine Sunday appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Jayden Reed has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six regular-season appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 218+ passing yards in each of the Packers’ last 11 regular season games against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 93+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Tucker Kraft has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last five games as favorites.
- Jayden Reed is the only player averaging over 20.0 rushing yards and 60.0 receiving yards per game this season.
Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts
- Sam Darnold has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Vikings’ last three games.
- Aaron Jones has recorded 53+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
- Justin Jefferson has scored a touchdown in each of the Vikings’ last four September games.
- T.J. Hockenson has recorded 55+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Vikings as underdogs.
- Aaron Jones has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jalen Nailor ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
I’ll lean toward Green Bay here. The Packers had a pretty well-rounded day offensively against Tennessee but still have a couple of areas that need improving. Green Bay posted 378 total yards (188 rushing) and 6.4 yards per play but only converted five of 14 third downs and committed 10 penalties for 75 yards. The defense was great though, notching three takeaways and holding the Titans to 3-of-9 on third downs.
As for Minnesota, they didn’t have a ton of trouble with Houston in their last outing. The Vikings posted 274 total yards (118 rushing) with 19 first downs on offense but also benefitted from 11 Texans penalties for 88 yards. Divisional games are always fun, and this one should be no different. I like Green Bay to eke out the cover at home in a competitive matchup.