Detroit Pistons (44-36) vs Milwaukee Bucks (46-34)
Game Info: Friday, April 11, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Little Caesars Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Pistons -5.5 — Over/Under: 228.5
The Milwaukee Bucks and the Detroit Pistons duke it out at Little Caesars Arena on Friday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks are heating up at just the right time as they are now gunning for a seventh-straight win after blowing past the depleted Pelicans in a 136-111 home win last night. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 28 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists, Kevin Porter Jr added 20 points with seven assists and five steals, and Kyle Kuzma chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 54 percent from the field and 18 of 45 from the 3-point line as they caught fire early and poured in 41 points in the second quarter to take the lead into halftime. Before they scored another 74 points in the second half to keep their win streak alive.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall, but they will be feeling better after snapping a two-game skid with a 115-106 home win over the Knicks last night. Cade Cunningham led the team with 36 points and eight assists on 16 of 24 shooting, Jalen Duren added 18 points with 13 rebounds on nine of nine shooting, and Tobias Harris chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Pistons shot 57 percent from the field and eight of 22 from the 3-point line, but this win was more about their defense as they actually trailed for most of the contest. They did well to hang around before they made their move with a decisive 9-0 run late in the fourth quarter to earn the gritty win at home.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The favorites have won 33 of the last 34 games between the Bucks and Pistons.
- The Bucks have lost 11 of their last 12 road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won each of their last 14 road games against the Pistons.
- The Pistons have lost each of their last 13 games at Little Caesars Arena against Bucks teams that held a winning record.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pistons rank 2nd for fast break points per game (18.8) this season.
- The Pistons rank 28th in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (24.3).
- The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.4%).
- The Bucks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.9%).
Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction
The Bucks are still missing some players with Damian Lillard and Tyler Smith both out, while the Pistons are still coming in with a full squad minus Jaden Ivey. The Bucks were really struggling for most of the season, but they’re hitting their stride right now and will like their chances against a Pistons team that they’ve already beaten twice this season. The Pistons have opened as favorites at home following their win over the Knicks last night, but the Bucks have been the better team recently. I really like them with the points in a game they could win outright.