Pittsburgh Pirates (41-44) vs New York Mets (42-42)
Game Info: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 4:05 pm (PNC Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +117 / New York Mets -137 — Over/Under:
The New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The New York Mets recent form and player performance
The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent betting trends in games played between the Mets and Pirates
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mets vs Pirates game
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets played a four-game series versus the Washington Nationals this week. New York won the first two installments of that set 9-7 and 7-2, then lost the next pair 7-5 and 1-0. On Friday versus Pittsburgh, the Mets took a blowout loss 14-2. Luis Severino struggled with seven earned runs on nine hits and two walks in 6.0 innings as starter.
In the starter slot for the Saturday game two the Mets are going with David Peterson. This year Peterson is 3-0 with a 3.51 ERA in six starts. Over his career Peterson is 21-21 with a 4.42 ERA in 86 games (70 starts).
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Over on the Pittsburgh side, they played the St. Louis Cardinals in their last series. The Pirates won game two 5-4 but otherwise took losses 7-4 and 3-2 to drop the set. In the Friday game Pittsburgh notched 16 hits in an easy win. Starter Paul Skenes managed two earned in 7.0 innings on four hits and two walks with eight Ks.
It’ll be Bailey Falter in the starter role for the Pirates on Saturday. This year Falter is 4-6 with a 3.87 ERA in 16 starts. Falter is 14-20 with a 4.49 ERA in 76 career games (47 starts). The Pirates will face the Brewers following this series.
Mets vs Pirates Pick Injury Notes
Mets SP Kodai Senga (shoulder) is expected to make a rehab start Tuesday with Triple-A Syracuse.
The Pirates placed SP Jared Jones on the 15-day IL Thursday with a strained right lat.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Mets’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last five games at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 15 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has scored at least one run in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Pirates’ last 10 games at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 15 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against the Pirates.
- Harrison Bader has scored a run in five of his last six appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
- Harrison Bader has recorded two or more RBIs in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against the Pirates.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against the Pirates.
- Jeff McNeil has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against the Pirates at PNC Park.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’ll stay with the Mets I suppose. Peterson is pitching pretty well these days, logging five earned over his last 16.2 innings on 14 hits and nine walks. Peterson is 1-0 in that trio. As for Falter, he’s 1-2 in his last three starts with seven earned over 16.0 total innings.
On Friday the Mets had a 2-0 lead in the fourth inning but pretty much collapsed after that. New York couldn’t solve Skenes and had a few really bad pitching performances themselves. The Mets need a big bounce-back Saturday, but I think they’re capable.