Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 9/22/24

The Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB doubleheader action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will trot out Pablo Lopez for the start in game one and is 15-8 with a 3.84 ERA and 187 strikeouts this season while game two will see Zebby Matthews as the starter and Matthews is 1-3 with a 6.30 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. The Boston Red Sox will start Nick Pivetta in game one and Pivetta is 5-11 with a 4.37 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. Game two will see Boston send out Kutter Crawford here and Crawford is 8-15 with a 4.19 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 4-2 win over Boston from Friday’s matchup. The win put the Twins in a good spot to bounce back from their series losses to the Guardians and Reds over the last week and a half.

Twins Trying To Secure Wild Card Spot

Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 133 hits including 30 doubles and 5 triples as well as 58 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, and 22 doubles with a .228 batting average and .303 OBP. Carlos Santana has 22 home runs with 65 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, and 18 doubles. Jose Miranda has 28 doubles and Castro has a team-high 148 strikeouts so far this season. Byron Buxton also has 24 doubles, 17 homers, and 53 RBIs while Max Kepler has 21 doubles as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs following an extra innings loss.
• The Twins have won five of their last six games against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine-day games following an extra-innings win.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to rebound from their loss in Friday’s matchup against the Twins. The loss put the Red Sox at risk of yet another series loss early after falling short against the Rays and Yankees over the last week.

Red Sox Fading In Playoff Race

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 182 hits along with 34 stolen bases, 45 doubles, 13 triples, and 153 strikeouts, and he also has 21 home runs and 73 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 31 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 70 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 143 hits with 34 doubles, 28 home runs, 83 RBIs, and a .272 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 31 home runs and 61 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has 33 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last nine home games against the Twins following a home loss.
• The Twins have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11-day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Twins following a home loss.

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

I’m backing the Twins for the doubleheader sweep here. Lopez is just the better pitcher hands down in game one and as much as Nick Pivetta’s been able to provide value in spots, I just think he’s overmatched here. In game two, I haven’t been the biggest fan of Zebby Matthews, but Crawford’s taken the loss in each of his last six starts and I don’t think that’s an accident. I think the Twins are the better team with all of the motivation in the world here so give me Minnesota.