Philadelphia Phillies (64-38) vs Cleveland Guardians (61-41)
Game Info: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 6:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -182 / Cleveland Guardians +153 — Over/Under: 9
The Cleveland Guardians and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance
The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians
Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Guardians
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Guardians game
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Cleveland played the Detroit Tigers earlier this week. The Guardians were able to win Tuesday and Wednesday for a series tie. On Friday versus the Phillies, Cleveland was able to power out the win 3-1. Ben Lively went 6.0 innings with one earned run in the start.
In the starter role Saturday it’ll be Carlos Carrasco. This year Carrasco is 3-8 with a 5.32 ERA in 18 starts. Carrasco is 110-101 with a 4.12 ERA in 321 career games (274 starts). The Guardians will meet the Tigers and Orioles after this series.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over on the Phillies’ side, they took on the Minnesota Twins in their last set. Philadelphia won 3-0 on Tuesday but otherwise lost the remaining pair. On Friday the Phillies got 6.0 innings with three earned from starter Christopher Sanchez.
Tyler Phillips will take the mound for the Saturday start. This year Phillips is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over the first three games (two starts) of his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three road games against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of his last four Saturday night appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in six of the Phillies’ last seven games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Guardians’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Carlos Carrasco has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Guardians as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in four of the Guardians’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded two hits in each of the Guardians’ last three road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’ll lean toward Cleveland but I could probably go either way. Carrasco needs a bounce-back after his last start (six earned in 5.1 innings). The good news is that he posted just four earned in 10.0 innings over his two starts prior. As for Phillips, he’s coming off a nice effort versus Pittsburgh with 6.0 clean frames.
On Friday the Guardians were able to do enough damage on the scoreboard early and held on for the victory. Cleveland should be in good shape for Saturday, but I can also see Philly storming back to even things up.