Atlanta Braves (54-45) vs Cincinnati Reds (48-53)
Game Info: Wednesday, July 24, 2024 at 12:20 pm (Truist Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves +131 / Cincinnati Reds -175 — Over/Under:
In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 24th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for the doubleheader, we will examine:
- The Reds recent form and recent player performance
- The Braves recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
- Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati and Atlanta
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cincinnati and Atlanta
Reds Trying to Climb Out of Last
The Cincinnati Reds are 48-53 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Cincinnati won the first game in this series by a score of 4-1 on Monday, before game two was rained out. Prior to this series, the Reds lost all three against the Nationals, won two out of three against the Marlins, and won three out of four against the Rockies. Cincinnati is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 447 runs with a .230 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .258 with 17 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed at least five runs in three of their last four games.
Braves Looking to Avoid Fourth Straight Loss
The Atlanta Braves are 54-45 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Atlanta lost the first game in this series on Monday night, where they only scored one run. Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Cardinals, won two out of three against the Padres, and split four games with the Diamondbacks. Atlanta is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 418 runs with a .240 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .311 with 28 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati in game one is Frankie Montas, who is 4-8 with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this year. Montas has allowed 12 earned runs in his last two starts (11.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for the Reds in game two is Nick Martinez, who is 3-5 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 72.0 innings pitched this year. Martinez has allowed three earned runs in his last nine outings, but he has not gone more than three innings in any of those appearances. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta in game one is Allan Winans, who is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. Winans allowed six earned runs and eight hits against the Mets in his first start back in April. The projected starting pitcher for the Braves in game two is Chris Sale, who is 13-3 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 110.0 innings pitched this year. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts.
Why the Braves will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Braves have won 17 of their last 20 home games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
Why the Reds will beat the Braves
- The underdogs have won four of the Reds’ last five games.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last nine games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 12 games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Braves’ last 13 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three night games at Truist Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against the Reds.
- Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Reds.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in eight of his last nine home appearances.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (28) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs against the Braves.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (181).
- The Cincinnati Reds rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
- The Cincinnati Reds rank 5th in the league for triples this season (21).
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
These two teams were rained out in their matchup on Tuesday night, so they will play a doubleheader to finish the series here. The Braves are second in the NL East, but they have had some struggles recently and are desperately trying to turn it around. Atlanta is 30-20 at home, while Cincinnati is 23-25 on the road. The Reds are trying to get out of last place in the NL Central, where they have been way too inconsistent. The first game in this doubleheader features Winans and Montas. I know Montas has struggled in his last two outings, but I can’t back Winans until I see better results. In game two, I am going to back Chris Sale, as he has been dominant lately. My Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Reds to win game one and the Braves to win game two by at least two runs.