Toronto Blue Jays (72-83) vs Boston Red Sox (78-77)
Game Info: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -143 / Boston Red Sox +121 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Blue Jays pick. We will examine:
The Boston Red Sox’s recent form and player performance
The Toronto Blue Jays’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays
Recent betting trends in games played between the Red Sox and Blue Jays
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Red Sox vs Blue Jays game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox took on the Minnesota Twins in their last series. Boston lost 4-2 Friday but won the weekend games 8-1 and 9-3. After a 4-1 win over the Jays in their opener, on Tuesday the Red Sox eked out a 6-5 win in 10 innings. Brayan Bello put up 4.0 innings and two earned runs in the starter role.
The starter for the Sox on Wednesday will be Richard Fitts. In the first three starts of his MLB career, Fitts has a clean ERA without a decision.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
Over on the Jays’ side, they played the Tampa Bay Rays in their last set. Toronto was swept in that one 1-0, 3-2 and 4-3. On Tuesday the Blue Jays scored two in the bottom of the 10th but couldn’t make the comeback. Starter Bowden Francis logged 5.0 clean frames, three hits, one walk, and four Ks.
Kevin Gausman will take the hill for the start on Wednesday. This year Gausman is 13-11 with a 3.91 ERA in 30 starts. Gausman is 101-102 with a 3.85 career ERA in 328 games (289 starts).
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last four road games after going to extra innings.
- The Blue Jays have won five of their last six night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last three home games after going to extra innings.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents following a road win.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games at Rogers Centre.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against American League opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
I’m probably going to try the Sox. Fitts hasn’t given up an earned run yet, and in his last (first) three outings he’s got 15.2 innings with 13 hits and five walks combined. As for Gausman, he’s 1-1 with five earned runs in his last 18.0 frames across three starts.
On Tuesday the Sox out-hit Toronto 11-5 and came back from a 3-0 deficit to bag the dramatic victory. Boston used seven pitchers out of the bullpen, with five of them working one inning. If Fitts can eat up some innings in the start it’ll take some heat off the relievers Wednesday.