Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 8/9/24

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 9th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Orioles recent form and recent player performance 
• The Rays recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
• Recent betting trends in games played between Baltimore and Tampa Bay
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Baltimore and Tampa Bay

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 68-48 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Baltimore is coming off of a series loss against Toronto, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Orioles split four games with the Guardians, won three out of four against the Blue Jays, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Baltimore is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are tied with the Yankees in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 591 runs with a .254 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .285 with 29 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 58-56 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series loss against St. Louis, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Astros, split two games with the Marlins, and won two out of three against the Reds. Tampa Bay is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 452 runs with a .235 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .274 with 10 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Zach Eflin, who is 7-7 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 122.1 innings pitched this year. Eflin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 5-7 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 119.2 innings pitched this season. Littell has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

• The Orioles have won each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last five night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Fourteen of the Orioles’ last 15 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last three home games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine Friday night games against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games against AL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Double in three of the Rays’ last four home games against AL opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last five games against the Orioles at Tropicana Field.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays’ last 14 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 14 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in five of the Rays’ last six night games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last five games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games against the Rays.
• Eloy Jimenez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Zach Eflin has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine Friday appearances in night games.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last six road games against the Rays.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Orioles’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Baltimore comes into this series locked in a battle with the Yankees in the AL East, but they are just .500 over their last ten games. The Orioles are 34-23 on the road, while the Rays are 30-29 at home. Tampa Bay is fourth in the AL East right now, but they have played decently well over the last few weeks. The Rays pitching staff has been about average this season, but their offense is near the bottom in runs scored. Tampa Bay is going with Littell, who has been outstanding in recent outings, while Baltimore is starting Zach Eflin, who continues to be up and down. I do like how Littell is pitching right now, but Baltimore is one of the best road teams in the MLB and they are at a decent price. My Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction is for the Orioles to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML