Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 8, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Golden State Valkyries guard Veronica Burton (22) shoots against the Seattle Storm during the second quarter at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Phoenix Mercury
Golden State Valkyries
Team Records
1-0
1-0
Spread
+2.5 -112
-2.5 -108
Moneyline
+120
-142
Total
Over 158.5 (-115)
Under 158.5 (-105)
Where
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
When
Sunday, May 10, 2026
Time
08:30 PM EDT
TV
KPIX+
The Phoenix Mercury and the Golden State Valkyries meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Chase Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries prediction.
Matchup History
The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 22nd, 2025 by a final score of 81-72, making the Mercury 4-0 all-tie against the Valkyries.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 99-66 win over the Las Vegas Aces last time out to sit at 1-0 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head home for a game against the Minnesota Lynx.
Mercury Looking To Add On To Big Showing
Alyssa Thomas led the Mercury with 20 points on 9 of 17 shooting with a team-high 9 assists and 6 rebounds while Jovana Nogic added 19 points on 5 of 8 shooting with 4 threes. DeWanna Bonner added 13 points on 5 of 7 shooting with 3 threes and 7 rebounds and Kahleah Copper chipped in 13 points while Natasha Mack added 10 points with 15 rebounds for the double-double. Kiana Williams added 11 points off of the bench with 3 threes as well for Phoenix in the win.
Golden State Valkyries Recap
The Golden State Valkyries come into this game looking to add on to their 91-80 win over the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 1-0 on the year. After this game, the Valkyries will head home for a game against the Chicago Sky.
Valkyries Looking For Home Win
Janelle Salaun led the Valkyries with 20 points on 7 of 16 shooting with 5 threes while Veronica Burton added 16 points on 5 of 13 shooting with a team-high 6 assists and Kayla Thornton added 13 points on 4 of 9 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 8 rebounds. Kaitlyn Chen chipped in 14 points on 5 of 10 shooting with a pair of threes.
Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries Betting Trends: May 10, 2026
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
The Valkyries have won each of their last eight games as favorites.
The Mercury have lost each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
The Valkyries have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Valkyries have lost each of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Mercury have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Chase Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Seven of the Mercury’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
Thirteen of the Valkyries’ last 16 night games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
Gabby Williams recorded at least 1 steal in 11 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Veronica Burton was the only qualified player in the league to lead their team in blocks per game (0.6) and free-throw percentage (87.8%) last season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas ranked 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.2) last season.
Natasha Mack ranked 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.0) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Golden State Valkyries ranked 1st for opponent points per game last season (76.3).
The Golden State Valkyries ranked 1st for opponent field goal percentage last season (40.5%).
The Phoenix Mercury scored 80+ points in each of their last three games – equal-longest streak of any team since the Las Vegas Aces in 2025.
The Phoenix Mercury have allowed fewer than 100 points points in each of their last 30 games – team’s longest streak since 2021.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction
I’m on the Valkyries here. I think the Mercury are in for a bit of a letdown here after their herculean effort against the Aces and I think that there’s a bit of a letdown happening here. The Valkyries were one of the strongest home teams in the W last year and I think they get another here. Give me Golden State.
