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WTA Madrid: Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction 4/30/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Mar 23, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Mirra Andreeva hits a forehand against Victoria Mboko (CAN) (not pictured) on day 7 of the 2026 Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Mar 23, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Mirra Andreeva hits a forehand against Victoria Mboko (CAN) (not pictured) on day 7 of the 2026 Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste

10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Mirra Andreeva -333 / Hailey Baptiste +230

(Get latest betting odds)

Mirra Andreeva faces Hailey Baptiste in the semifinals of the 2026 Madrid Open. The match is scheduled for Thursday, April 30. Here’s our Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste prediction. This preview will also include a Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste pick.

Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste Preview

Mirra Andreeva is coming off a straight sets win in the last round against 24th seed Leylah Fernandez. The match took 22 games to decide. Andreeva trailed 4-1 in the opening set and then saved three set points before prevailing in the tiebreak by a dominant 7-1 score. The second set was full of momentum swings, but it was Andreeva who secured a crucial break late in the match that enabled her to serve for a 6-3 in the set. Andreeva sealed victory in under two hours. She hit 1 ace and 1 double fault.

Andreeva landed 68% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (38/57). She won 44% of second serve points (12/27) and saved 12 of 15 break points on her serve. It’s the first time she’s through to the semifinals of the Madrid Open after two quarterfinal finishes in the past.

Hailey Baptiste registered the biggest shock of the 2026 Madrid Open thanks to her incredible victory over World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka. Baptiste stunned the defedning chapion 6-2, 2-6, 7-6 in a two and a half hour thriller. Baptiste saved a total of six match points, one of which was on the Sabalenka serve in the final set tiebreak. She won the final three points in the match to clinch her best-ever victory by ranking.

In the victory, Baptiste hit 12 aces and 10 double faults. She landed 55% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (42/62). Baptiste won 38% of second serve points (19/50) and saved 11 of 17 break points on her serve. Baptiste is through to her first semifinal at WTA 1000 at the Madrid Open.

Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste Head-To-Head

Andreeva beat Baptiste in straight sets in their only meeting at 2025 Wimbledon.

Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction

After her upset against Sabalenka, I get the temptation of taking Baptiste here at +230, but I’m siding with Andreeva. The young Russian is close to the complete package and will look to expose any dips from Baptiste after the emotional high of taking out the World No. 1. I’ll take Andreeva to problem-solve and find a way in likely three sets.

Nur Said's Pick: Mirra Andreeva in three sets

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