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Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1/16/25 NHL Picks

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Ottawa Senators (22-18-3) vs Washington Capitals (29-10-5)

January 16, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators -105 / Washington Capitals -112 — Over/Under: 5.5

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The Washington Capitals and Ottawa Senators meet Thursday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction. This article will include a Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Predators and Ducks, and they play the Penguins, Oilers, and Kraken next. The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.61 goals per game and are scoring 23.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 20 goals, Dylan Strome has 34 assists and Connor McMichael has 103 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.52 goals per game and are killing 83.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Charlie Lindgren has allowed 54 goals on 538 shots faced, and Logan Thompson has given up 53 goals on 675 shots.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Islanders and Stars, and they play the Bruins, Devils, and Rangers next. The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring 23.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Brady Tkachuk leads Ottawa with 18 goals, Tim Stutzle has 29 assists and Thomas Chabot has 95 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 2.77 goals per game and are killing 78.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 51 goals on 602 shots faced, and Anton Forsberg has given up 41 goals on 350 shots.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Capitals have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Senators have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Capitals.
  • The Senators have won the second period in four of their last five games.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The favorites have won 17 of the last 18 games between the Capitals and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight Thursday games.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in five of their last six road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Senators have lost the first period in four of their last five night games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Joshua Norris has recorded at least one point in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Senators as home underdogs.
  • Jake Sanderson has scored a goal in three of the Senators’ last four games against the Capitals.
  • Claude Giroux has recorded an assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Nicklas Backstrom has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against the Senators.
  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances in road games.
  • Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded an assist in seven of the Capitals’ last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ottawa Senators rank 4th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.79).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 28th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.88).
  • The Washington Capitals rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.58%).
  • The Washington Capitals rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.52).

Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Injury Report

The Washington Capitals will be without Charlie Lindgren and Sonny Milano.

The Senators will be without Jacob Bernard-Docker, Michael Amdaio, David Perron, Noah Gregor, and Travis Hamonic. Cole Reinhardt and Thomas Chabot are questionable for the Senators.

Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction

The Ottawa Senators have won five of the last seven games against the Capitals, so there are reasons to look at the home team in this pick spot. The problem is I’d need plus money to give the Senators a serious look. The Washington Capitals are simply the better team, no matter how you slice it, and they’re 14-6-1 on the road. The Senators are also the most banged-up team in the league, and while that hasn’t impacted them this week, it has to come into play at some point. I’ll side with the team that’s played the better hockey in this spot. That’s without a doubt the Capitals. Give me the road team in this toss-up. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Washington Capitals -112

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