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Panthers vs Bruins Prediction 3/11/25 NHL Picks

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Boston Bruins (29-28-8) vs Florida Panthers (40-21-3)

March 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Bruins +180 / Florida Panthers -218 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Panthers vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 11th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers are 40-21-3 this year after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Florida scored one goal in the first period, two in the second, and one in the third in the shutout win. The Panthers outshot Buffalo by a total of 36-21, won 55.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Florida got goals from Bennett, Greer, Lundell, and Verhaeghe, while Vanecek stopped all 21 shots in the victory.

Prior to that game, the Panthers defeated the Blue Jackets by a score of 3-0 and the Lightning by a score of 2-1. Florida has won six games in a row and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 83 points. Florida has scored 3.27 goals per game and they have allowed 2.69 goals against per game, while also going 23.3% on the power play and 81% on the penalty kill this season. Sam Reinhart has led Florida with 32 goals, 36 assists, and 172 shots on goal, while Aleksander Barkov has added 17 goals, 43 assists, and 118 shots on goal. Sergei Bobrovsky is 27-13-2 with a 2.49 goals against average and a .907 save percentage this season. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 29-28-8 this season after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Boston scored once in the second period and added three goals in the third to pull away in the shutout win. The Bruins were outshot by a total of 26-25, won 46.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Kastelic, Koepke (2), and Zadorov, while Swayman stopped all 26 shots in the win. 

Prior to that shutout victory, the Bruins lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 3-2 and the Predators by a score of 6-3. Boston has lost eight of their last ten games and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with 66 points. Boston has scored 2.71 goals per game and they have allowed 3.12 goals against per game, while also going 14.9% on the power play and 77% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 32 goals, 47 assists, and 272 shots on goal, while Pavel Zacha has added 12 goals, 27 assists, and 112 shots on goal. Jeremy Swayman is 19-21-6 with a 2.93 goals against average and an .898 save percentage this year. 

Why the Panthers will beat the Bruins

  • The Bruins have lost each of their last six night games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Panthers have won eight of their last nine games.
  • The Panthers have covered the puck line in each of their last four games at TD Garden following a home win.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four home games following a road win.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Panthers’ last four games following a win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Ten of the Bruins’ last 12 games at TD Garden against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Panthers’ last 10 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Bruins’ last five home games.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • David Pastrnak has scored the last goal in three of the Bruins’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents at TD Garden.
  • David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in each of the Bruins’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents at TD Garden.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 13 games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

  • Matthew Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances.
  • Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one assist in each of the Panthers’ last six games as favorites.
  • Sam Reinhart has recorded at least one point in each of the Panthers’ last nine games as road favorites.

Panthers vs Bruins Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup at opposite ends of the Atlantic standings, but Boston will have the home-ice advantage. The Bruins are 18-11-5 at home this year, while the Panthers are 18-11-1 on the road. Boston did pick up a surprising win against Tampa Bay in their last game and they will have plenty of motivation here, as Marchand will return after being traded just a few days ago. Florida has won six games in a row and they have been elite defensively over the last few games. The Panthers have allowed a total of one goal in their last four games and it is very tough to play against them when they are locked in on the defensive end of the ice. Take the Panthers here. 

David Racey's Pick: Panthers -1.5

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