Washington Capitals (45-15-8) vs Philadelphia Flyers (28-33-8)
Game Info: Thursday, March 20, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Capital One Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Capitals -250 / Philadelphia Flyers +205 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 20th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Flyers are 28-33-8 this year after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 2-0 in their last game. Philadelphia allowed one goal in the first period and an empty net goal in the third to seal the loss. The Flyers were outshot by a total of 23-21, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia was led by Foerster and Konecny, who both had three shots on goal, while Fedotov stopped 21 out of 22 shots in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Flyers lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 5-0 but did beat the Lightning by a score of 4-3 before that. Philadelphia has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 64 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.71 goals per game and they have allowed 3.35 goals against per game, while also going 14.3% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 22 goals, 43 assists, and 157 shots on goal, while Matvei Michkov has added 20 goals, 27 assists, and 158 shots on goal. Samuel Ersson is 19-13-4 with a 3.02 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this year.
Washington Capitals Betting Preview
The Washington Capitals are 45-15-8 this season after they defeated Detroit by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Washington was tied at one heading into the third period, but they scored three goals in the third for the win. The Capitals outshot Detroit by a total of 26-24, won 42.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-0 in the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Dubois, Strome, Wilson, and McMichael, while Thompson stopped 23 out of 24 shots in the game.
Prior to that win, the Capitals defeated the Sharks by a score of 5-1 but did lose to the Kings by a score of 3-0 before that. Washington has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 98 points. Washington has scored 3.63 goals per game and they have allowed 2.54 goals against per game, while also going 22.3% on the power play and 82.4% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 22 goals, 45 assists, and 122 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas has added 29 goals, 32 assists, and 128 shots on goal this year. Charlie Lindgren is 15-11-3 with a 2.65 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this season.
Why the Capitals will beat the Flyers
- The Capitals have won each of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Flyers have lost eight of their last nine night games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Flyers have lost the third period in eight of their last nine games as underdogs at Capital One Arena when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Capitals’ last eight home games against the Flyers following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Six of the Flyers’ last seven road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the last three games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 11 of the Capitals’ last 12 games as favorites.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Flyers’ last six road games against opponents on a winning streak.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Strome has scored the first goal in three of the Capitals’ last four games.
- Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances against the Flyers at Capital One Arena.
- Connor McMichael has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last 10 games against Metropolitan Division opponents at Capital One Arena.
- Rasmus Sandin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances.
Flyers vs Capitals Prediction
Washington comes into this contest as one of the hottest teams in the NHL over the last two weeks and they will be at home for this game. The Capitals are 22-7-6 at home this year, while the Flyers are 12-14-7 on the road. Philadelphia is 34 points behind Washington in the standings and they have lost seven of their last eight games. The Flyers have been shutout in back-to-back games and they have scored two goals or fewer in six of their last seven. Washington is 3-0 against Philly so far this year, with two wins coming by at least two goals, and I like them to cover the puck line once again here.