Arizona Cardinals (1-2) vs Washington Commanders (2-1)
Game Info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 4:05 pm (State Farm Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Cardinals -3 / Washington Commanders +3 — Over/Under: 50.5
In this article, we will formulate a Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 29th at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week four matchup.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders are 2-1 this year after they defeated Cincinnati by a score of 38-33 in their last game. Washington was tied at seven after the first quarter, but they took the lead early in the second quarter and never gave it up. The Commanders were outgained by a total of 436-356, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 5-9 on third down in the game. Jayden Daniels threw for 254 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 39 yards and one score.
Washington lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 37-20 in the season opener, but they did beat the Giants by a score of 21-18 in week two. The Washington offense has scored 26.3 points per game with 206.3 passing yards and 153.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 29.3 points per game this season. The Commanders have gone 45.2% on third down and 5-5 on fourth down so far this season. Jayden Daniels has completed 80.3% of his passes for 664 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions, while Terry McLaurin has caught 12 passes for 139 yards and one score.
Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview
The Arizona Cardinals are 1-2 this season after they lost to Detroit by a score of 20-13 last week. Arizona tied the game at seven in the first quarter, but they trailed 20-10 at halftime and only managed three points in the second half in the loss. The Cardinals were outgained by a total of 373-277, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-12 on third down in the game. Kyler Murray threw for 207 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Marvin Harrison Jr. caught five passes for 64 yards and one score.
Arizona opened the season with a 34-28 loss against Buffalo, but they did bounce back with a win over the Rams by a score of 41-10 in week two. The Arizona offense has scored 27.3 points per game with 201.3 passing yards and 144 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.3 points per game this season. The Cardinals have gone 45.5% on third down and 0-3 on fourth down through three games. Kyler Murray has completed 68.6% of his passes for 635 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while James Conner has rushed for 189 yards and two scores.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Commanders
- The Commanders have lost eight of their last nine Sunday games.
- The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight home games against the Commanders following a loss.
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games against NFC East opponents.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four September road games against NFC opponents.
- The favorites have won the first half in 12 of the Cardinals’ last 14 games.
- The home team has won the first quarter in five of the last six games between the Commanders and Cardinals.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last seven home games following a loss has gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Commanders’ last eight Sunday games played on the West Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Kyler Murray has recorded 239+ passing yards in 14 of his last 16 appearances with the Cardinals as home favorites.
- James Conner has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 33+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine Sunday appearances at State Farm Stadium.
- James Conner has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight Sunday games.
- Elijah Higgins has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of the Cardinals’ last nine Sunday games.
- Kyler Murray has thrown three touchdowns in each of the Cardinals’ last two September games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Jalen Thompson is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Zach Ertz has recorded 21+ receiving yards in 17 of his last 18 September road appearances.
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six Sunday appearances with the Commanders as road underdogs.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 34+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances following a win.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against NFC West opponents.
- Austin Seibert has recorded the most made field goals in a single game this season (7 vs Giants, Week 2).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank T2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (2) this season.
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the NFL in Q1 points per game (9.3) this season.
- The Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
- The Commanders rank 31st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (255.7) this season.
Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup looking for their third win in a row, after they went into Cincinnati on Monday night and rolled to the win. The Commanders have looked pretty good offensively this season, but the defense is definitely a concern. Arizona blew out the Rams in week two, but they struggled to score points against the Lions last week. I really like what I have seen from Daniels under center for Washington so far this season, but I just don’t think they can get enough stops against Murray and Company. Take the Cardinals at home.