Vikings vs Browns Prediction 10/5/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

David Racey

4 weeks ago

Sep 28, 2025; Dublin, Ireland; Minnesota Vikings quarterback Carson Wentz (11) throws the ball against Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Derrick Harmon (99) during an NFL International Series game at Croke Park. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Minnesota (2-2) vs Cleveland (1-3)

October 5, 2025 at 09:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland +3.5 — Over/Under: +36

In this article we will formulate a Vikings vs Browns prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 5th at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 5 matchup.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings are 2-2 this year after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 24-21 last week. Minnesota trailed 24-6 in the fourth quarter, but they did score the last 15 points and nearly completed the crazy comeback. The Vikings out gained Pittsburgh by a total of 372-313, went 4-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Carson Wentz went 30-46 for 350 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jordan Mason rushed 16 times for 57 yards. Justin Jefferson led the Vikings receivers with 10 receptions for 126 yards in the loss. The Minnesota defense recorded two sacks and four tackles for loss in the game.

In their first three games, Minnesota defeated Chicago, lost to Atlanta, and defeated Cincinnati. The Vikings are averaging 25.5 points per game with 184.8 passing yards and 109.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 20.0 points against per game this season. Carson Wentz has completed 66.7% of his passes for 523 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Justin Jefferson has 22 receptions for 326 yards and one score. The Minnesota rushing attack is led by Jordan Mason, who has 56 carries for 271 yards and two touchdowns this year.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 1-3 this season after they lost to Detroit by a score of 34-10 last week. Cleveland led 7-0 in the first quarter, but they only managed three points over the last 54 minutes for the blowout loss. The Browns were out gained by a total of 277-249, went 3-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Joe Flacco went 16-34 for 184 yards and two interceptions, while Quinshon Judkins carried the ball 21 times for 82 yards and one score. Isaiah Bond led the receivers with three receptions for 58 yards in the loss. The Cleveland defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the game.

In their first three games of the year, Cleveland lost to Cincinnati and Baltimore, but did beat Green Bay on a last second field goal in their third game. The Browns are averaging 14.0 points per game with 195.3 passing yards and 84.8 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 25.5 points against per game this season. Joe Flacco was not getting it done, so Cleveland will go with Dillon Gabriel under center. Quinshon Judkins has led the ground game with 49 carries for 237 yards and two scores, while Jerry Jeudy has 13 receptions for 182 yards on the season.

Why the Vikings will beat the Browns

The Vikings have won each of their last eight October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
The Browns have lost nine of their last 10 Sunday games.
The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Browns’ last eight Week 5 games.
The Browns have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven Week 5 games as underdogs.
The Vikings have won the first quarter in five of their last six games against AFC North opponents.
The Vikings have won the first half in eight of their last nine Week 5 games.

Total Points Facts

Eight of the Browns’ last nine Sunday games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Vikings’ last five games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

Quinshon Judkins has scored a touchdown in each of the Browns’ last two games as underdogs.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 300+ passing yards in three of his four previous appearances against NFC North opponents.
Jerome Ford has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in 17 of his last 21 appearances following a loss.
Jerry Jeudy has recorded 51+ receiving yards in nine of the Browns’ last 11 games following a loss.
Jerome Ford has recorded 14+ rushing yards in each of his five previous October appearances with the Browns as underdogs.
Joe Flacco has recorded 26+ completions in three of his last four October appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
Heading into Week 5, Dylan Sampson ranks T1st in the AFC North amongst qualified players for catch rate (91.7%) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

Adam Thielen has scored a touchdown in each of his last three October appearances with the Vikings as favorites against AFC opponents.
Carson Wentz has recorded 223+ passing yards in six of his last seven October appearances against AFC opponents.
Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances following a loss.
Adam Thielen has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of his last 21 October appearances with the Vikings as favorites.
Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his four previous Week 5 appearances.
Carson Wentz has recorded 20+ completions in six of his seven previous Week 5 appearances.
Heading into Week 5, Dallas Turner ranks 1st in the NFC for quarterback hurries (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 5, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in 1st downs against (55) this season.
Heading into Week 5, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in H1 points per game (5.0) this season.
Vikings – three different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
Heading into Week 5, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (8) this season.