Miami Dolphins (6-8) vs San Francisco 49ers (6-8)
Game Info: Sunday, December 22, 2024 at 4:25 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins +2 / San Francisco 49ers -2 — Over/Under: 50
The San Francisco 49ers and the Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best 49ers vs Dolphins pick. We will examine:
The San Francisco 49ers’ recent form and player performance
The Miami Dolphins’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco 49ers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Dolphins
Recent betting trends in games played between the 49ers and Dolphins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the 49ers vs Dolphins game
San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
The Niners posted a 4-4 run over their first eight games, beating the Jets, Patriots, Seahawks, and Cowboys in that time. San Francisco is 2-5 since then with losses to the Seahawks, Packers, Bills, and Rams.
Matched up against the Rams last Thursday, the 49ers were up 6-3 going into the final quarter but eventually lost a tough one 12-6. San Francisco’s Brock Purdy threw for 142 yards and a pick. George Kittle was the leading receiver with four catches for 61 yards.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
Over on the Dolphins’ side, they stumbled to a 2-6 start with wins over only the Jaguars and Patriots. Miami has been better since then, taking out the Rams, Raiders, Patriots, and Jets over their last six games during a 4-2 run.
Miami fell back into the loss column against Houston on Sunday. The Dolphins were down 13-6 by the break and eventually took a 20-12 result. Tua Tagovailoa finished with 196 yards, one TD, and three picks. Malik Washington caught five balls for 52 yards as leading receiver.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the 49ers’ last six games in Florida has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Dolphins’ last five Sunday games played on the East Coast has gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 288+ passing yards in five of the Dolphins’ last six Sunday games as home favorites.
- Tyreek Hill has recorded 99+ receiving yards in seven of the Dolphins’ last eight games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 37+ rushing yards in each of his 12 previous December appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 13 appearances against NFC opponents.
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last six Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 25+ completions in seven of the Dolphins’ last eight games.
- Tua Tagovailoa has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Dolphins’ last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- Heading into Week 16, De’Von Achane ranks 1st in the AFC amongst qualified players for catch rate (89.7%) this season.
San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Facts
- Russell Gage has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four regular-season appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Deebo Samuel has recorded 58+ receiving yards in seven of his last nine regular-season appearances with the 49ers as underdogs.
- Brock Purdy has recorded 17+ rushing yards in three of his last four road appearances.
- Joshua Dobbs has scored a touchdown in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Brock Purdy has thrown two or more touchdowns in nine of the 49ers’ last 12 games in December.
- Heading into Week 16, Fred Warner ranks T2nd in the league for forced fumbles (4) this season.
San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
I’m going to stick with the Dolphins. Miami needs a good bounce-back effort at home here, though. The Dolphins posted just 224 total yards (172 passing) and 18 first downs in their latest defeat, but the major blemish was the four turnovers (three picks). Otherwise, the defense held together quite well with just 12 first downs and 181 yards allowed (104 passing).
As for the Niners, they mustered just 191 total yards and 11 first downs in their latest loss to the Rams. San Francisco’s defense did well in that one also, giving up only 14 first downs. The 49ers have allowed just 25 combined points over the last two games so they’ll be confident coming into this one. If Miami can clean up their mistakes and play a consistent game at home here though, I like the Dolphins better cover/win-wise. It’ll be a fun matchup regardless.