| MATCHUP | Miami Dolphins | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spread | +3 -108 | -3 -112 |
| Moneyline | +142 | -170 |
| Total | Over 40.5 (-105) | Under 40.5 (-115) |
| Where | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Sunday, September 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:25 PM EDT | |
| TV | FOX | |
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2020 and are beginning the Jeff Hafley era. The Dolphins have made the playoffs just three times since the 2009 season.
Malik Willis gets his chance to prove he’s a starting quarterback, as he showed promise as a backup in Green Bay. The Dolphins have a superstar running back in De’Von Achane, but that receiving core looks dookie on paper. I do believe Chris Bell could be a steal of the draft, but good lord, Willis will have to make chicken salad out of… Defensively, Jordyn Brooks is a solid linebacker, and there are good defensive linemen in Chop Robinson and Zach Sieler. However, overall, there’s a reason why the Dolphins are expected to be the worst team in the NFL. This is a roster that has endless dead money and is in a complete rebuild. In Miami, it’s tank for Arch Manning or Jeremiah Smith.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Raiders haven’t made the playoffs since 2021 and have won a combined 7 games in the last 2 seasons. The Raiders begin the Klint Kubiak era.
The Raiders have two quarterbacks: Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza, and we’ll see how that goes over the course of the season. Ashton Jeanty’s breakout would help take pressure off both of those guys, while tight end Brock Bowers remains one of the best at his position. Defensively, Maxx Crosby is a stud who can wreck game plans, and additions of linebackers Quay Walker and Nakobe Dean will bolster this side of the ball. This feels like a developmental year with some upside. If Kirk gets hot or Jeanty finds his footing, the Raiders could be a sneaky good team that pushes for 7 or 8 wins. We could cash the Raiders in some juicy underdog spots here and there this season.
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The Dolphins have lost 16 of their last 17 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Raiders have won each of their last four home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last three games against AFC opponents.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Raiders have lost each of their last five September games as favorites.
- The Dolphins have won each of their last five season openers against AFC West opponents.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five September games as home favorites.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games played as underdogs on the West Coast.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in four of their last five season openers against AFC West opponents.
- The Dolphins have won the first quarter in three of their last four season openers against AFC West opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Raiders’ last four season openers has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Dolphins’ last six season openers have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Connor Heyward has scored a touchdown in each of his last two regular season home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 238+ passing yards in six of his last seven September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last six appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Maxx Crosby was one of only two players in the NFL to record 10+ sacks and an interception last season.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in five of his last six Sunday appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Greg Dulcich has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four games as underdogs.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 81+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine Sunday appearances.
- Malik Washington has recorded 28+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last six games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
- Jordyn Brooks recorded the most tackles in a single game last season (20 vs Commanders, Week 11).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Raiders ranked 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (245.2) last season.
- The Raiders ranked 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (77.5) last season.
- Dolphins – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- The Dolphins suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points last season (5).
Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
I considered the points with the Dolphins because I don’t believe either of these teams is good. The Bowers injury doesn’t help things for the Raiders. Still, the Raiders should win this game at home, as I just don’t have confidence in the Dolphins’ defense. That secondary is gross. If the Raiders are going to be a sneaky decent team, this is a game they should win. I’ll lay the field goal with Vegas, but there are better options out there on this fine Sunday.