| MATCHUP | Las Vegas Raiders | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Spread | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +164 | -198 |
| Total | Over 45.5 (-105) | Under 45.5 (-115) |
| Where | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA | |
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Saints, lost to the Chiefs, and they play the Bills next. The Las Vegas Raiders have won 4 of their last 5 games. Kirk Cousins is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 1,026 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Tre Tucker and Brock Bowers have combined for 435 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Michael Mayer has 20 receptions.
The Las Vegas Raiders ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Ashton Jeanty leads the way with 264 yards on 78 carries. Defensively, Las Vegas is allowing 21 points and 337.3 yards per game. Nakobe Dean leads the Las Vegas Raiders with 32 tackles, Malcolm Koonce has 2.5 sacks, and Hezekiah Mass has 3 interceptions.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots lost to the Jaguars, beat the Bills, and play the Jets next. The New England Patriots have won 15 of their last 18 regular season games. Drake Maye is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 854 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Mack Hollins and Romeo Doubs have combined for 412 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Hunter Henry has 12 receptions.
The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 117.8 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 163 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, New England is allowing 19.3 points and 293.8 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 29 tackles, Elijah Ponder has 2.5 sacks, and Gabe Jacas has 1 interception.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their 14 previous games at Gillette Stadium against starting rookie QBs.
- The Raiders have lost each of their last nine games without Michael Mayer.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against starting rookie QBs.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four October road games against AFC opponents.
- The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last six October games as road underdogs.
- The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games following a home loss.
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The Raiders have won three of their last four Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Patriots have lost three of their last four October games against AFC West opponents.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games following a win.
- The Patriots have lost the first half in three of their last four Sunday games.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in three of their last four October games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Patriots’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Raiders’ last six games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- TreVeyon Henderson has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Patriots’ last five regular season home games.
- Romeo Doubs has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last seven home appearances against AFC opponents.
- TreVeyon Henderson has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last seven regular season home games.
- TreVeyon Henderson has recorded 75+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Patriots’ last seven regular season home games.
- Heading into Week 5, Efton Chism III ranks T5th in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (1) this season.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Tre Tucker has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Raiders’ last two games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in five of his last six October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 249+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 43+ receiving yards in five of the Raiders’ last six games as underdogs.
- Heading into Week 5, Kirk Cousins ranks T1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Patriots – three different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Heading into Week 5, the Patriots rank T2nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (83.3%) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Raiders rank 1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (5) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Raiders rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Prediction
Oddsmakers have doubted the Raiders since opening week, and here they are with a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS record. That one loss was last week in a competitive game against the Chiefs. The Patriots are coming off their best effort against the Bills, where they finally played to their potential, but overall, the Pats have had issues finishing drives offensively, and Maye hasn’t played well. Maybe eventually the Raiders turn into a pumpkin, but right now they’re competing on both sides of the ball and cashing tickets. Give me the points, especially with the hook on top of a key number.