Green Bay Packers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction NFL Picks 10/27/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5) vs Green Bay Packers (5-2)

Game Info: Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 1:00 pm (EverBank Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 / Green Bay Packers -4.5 — Over/Under: 49.5

In this article, we will formulate a Green Bay Packers vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 27th at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 5-2 this year after they defeated Houston by a score of 24-22 in their last game. Green Bay trailed 19-14 at the half, but they only allowed three points in the second half and they kicked the game-winning field goal as time expired. The Packers outgained Houston by a total of 277-197, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 4-10 on third down in the game. Jordan Love threw for 220 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Josh Jacobs rushed for 76 yards on 12 carries.

Green Bay also has wins over Indianapolis, Tennessee, Arizona, and the Rams, but they have two losses against Philadelphia and Minnesota. The GB offense has scored 26.6 points per game with 228.1 passing yards and 155 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.4 points against per game this season. The Packers have gone 40.5% on third down and 2-4 on fourth down through seven games. Jordan Love has completed 61.5% of his passes for 1,351 yards, 15 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Jayden Reed has caught 29 passes for 452 yards and three scores.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-5 this season after they defeated the Patriots by a score of 32-16 in their last game. Jacksonville trailed 10-0 in the second quarter, but they scored the next 25 points in the win. The Jaguars outgained NE by a total of 364-295, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Trevor Lawrence threw for 193 yards and one touchdown, while Tank Bigsby rushed for 118 yards and two scores.

Jacksonville also has a win over Indianapolis, but they have losses against Miami, Cleveland, Buffalo, Houston, and Chicago. The Jacksonville offense has scored 20.7 points per game with 201.6 passing yards and 124.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.7 points per game this season. The Jaguars have gone 34.2% on third down and 7-15 on fourth down so far this season. Trevor Lawrence has completed 62.1% of his passes for 1,527 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Brian Thomas Jr. has caught 30 passes for 513 yards and four scores.

Why the Jaguars will cover

The underdogs have won three of the Packers’ last four Week 8 games.
The Packers have lost three of their last four Week 8 games as favorites.
The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games played as favorites on the East Coast.
The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Packers’ last four Week 8 games.
The underdogs have won the first half in six of the Packers’ last seven games.
The Packers have lost the first quarter in six of their last eight games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

Seven of the Packers’ last eight road games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of the Jaguars’ last seven Sunday games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

Trevor Lawrence has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last five games at EverBank Stadium as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
Gabriel Davis has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
Christian Kirk has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with the Jaguars as home underdogs.
Christian Kirk has recorded 63+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
Trevor Lawrence has recorded 234+ passing yards in five of the Jaguars’ last six games following a win.
Trevor Lawrence has thrown two touchdowns in three of the Jaguars’ last four games.
Trevor Lawrence has recorded 22+ completions in eight of the Jaguars’ last nine regular season games as home underdogs.
Ronald Darby is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

Jordan Love has recorded 256+ passing yards in nine of his last 12 Sunday appearances.
Josh Jacobs has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
Josh Jacobs has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four games.
Josh Jacobs has recorded 66+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five October road appearances against AFC opponents.
Jordan Love has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last three appearances against AFC opponents.
Jordan Love has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 11 appearances.
Heading into Week 8, Jordan Love has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Vikings, Week 4).

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 8, the Jaguars rank 2nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (29.1) this season.
Heading into Week 8, the Jaguars rank 31st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (9.9) this season.
Heading into Week 8, the Packers rank T3rd in the NFL in interceptions (9) this season.
Heading into Week 8, the Packers rank 30th in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (20.3) this season.