| MATCHUP | Atlanta Falcons | New Orleans Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Spread | +2.5 -102 | -2.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | +124 | -148 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-112) | Under 47.5 (-108) |
| Where | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA | |
| When | Monday, October 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons are 1-2 this season after they defeated the Packers by a score of 35-14 last week. Atlanta led 17-7 at halftime and added 18 points in the second half to run away with the win. The Falcons out gained GB by a total of 498-328, went 6-10 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Michael Penix Jr threw for 256 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Drake London caught nine passes for 194 yards. Bijan Robinson rushed 29 times for 194 yards and two scores in the win.Prior to that game, Atlanta lost to the Panthers by a score of 34-3 and the Steelers by a score of 20-13. The Falcons have scored 17.0 points per game with 167.7 passing yards and 173.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.7 points against per game this season. Michael Penix Jr has thrown for 256 yards with one touchdown and one interception, while Bijan Robinson has 349 rushing yards and two scores this season.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
The New Orleans Saints are 1-2 this year after they lost to the Raiders by a score of 35-27 last week. New Orleans trailed 16-13 at halftime, but they led 27-16 in the third, before allowing the last 19 points for the loss. The Saints out gained LV by a total of 381-340, went 9-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-1 in the game. Tyler Shough threw for 255 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Chris Olave caught nine passes for 107 yards. Travis Etienne Jr rushed 13 times for 57 yards in the game.Prior to that loss, New Orleans defeated the Ravens by a score of 24-17, but lost to the Lions by a score of 31-30 in overtime before that. The Saints have scored 27.0 points per game with 281.3 passing yards and 101.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.7 points against per game this season. Tyler Shough has thrown for 917 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions, while Chris Olave has 27 receptions for 375 yards and one score this year.
Why the New Orleans Saints will win
- The Falcons have lost each of their last four games without Olamide Zaccheaus.
- The Saints have won five of their last six games without Kendre Miller.
- The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last seven games without Kendre Miller.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games without Olamide Zaccheaus.
- The Falcons have lost the first half in eight of their last 10 Week 4 road games against NFC opponents.
- The Falcons have lost the first quarter in each of their last three October games at Caesars Superdome.
Why the Atlanta Falcons will win
- The Saints have lost each of their last seven games following a home loss.
- The Falcons have won six of their last seven Monday games as underdogs.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between the Falcons and Saints.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games in October.
- The Falcons have won the first half in each of their last five games as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Saints have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight Monday games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Saints’ last six home games without Julian Blackmon have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Falcons’ last eight Week 4 games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the last 13 games between NFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Chris Olave has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Tyler Shough has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Saints’ last four games at Caesars Superdome.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 45+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 14 October appearances with the Saints as favorites.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 76+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 October appearances with the Saints as favorites.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 28+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 October appearances with the Saints as favorites.
- Heading into Week 4, Tyler Shough has recorded the most passing yards in a single game this season (410 vs Lions, Week 1).
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 168+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last five road games.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 97+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last four Monday games.
- Kyle Pitts has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last eight October games against NFC opponents.
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last five games as underdogs following a win.
- Heading into Week 4, Bijan Robinson has recorded the equal-most rushing attempts in a single game this season (29 vs Packers, Week 3).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 4, the Saints rank 31st in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.2 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in 1st downs (75) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in turnover differential (-6) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Falcons rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (66.7) this season.