| MATCHUP | Denver Broncos | Los Angeles Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Spread | -3.5 -108 | +3.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -192 | +160 |
| Total | Over 41.5 (-115) | Under 41.5 (-105) |
| Where | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA | |
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos beat the Rams, lost to the 49ers, and they play the Seahawks next. The Broncos have won 15 of their last 18 regular season games. Bo Nix is completing 60 percent of his passes for 819 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and Pat Bryant have combined for 318 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while RJ Harvey has 20 receptions.
The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 81.3 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 161 yards on 46 carries. Defensively, Denver is allowing 23.5 points and 375 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 47 tackles, Zach Allen has 3 sacks, and Talanoa Hufanga has 2 interceptions.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers lost to the Bills and Seahawks, and they play the Chiefs next. The Los Angeles Chargers haven’t started 0-5 since the 2003 season. Justin Herbert is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 816 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Tre’ Harris and Ladd McConkey have combined for 392 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Quentin Johnston has 7 receptions.
The Los Angeles Chargers’ ground game is averaging 121.5 yards per contest, and Omarion Hampton leads the way with 238 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 26.5 points and 333.5 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 26 tackles, Khalil Mack has 3 sacks, and Genesis Smith has 2 interceptions.
Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Chargers’ last four games at SoFi Stadium.
- The Broncos have lost five of their last six Week 5 games as favorites.
- The home team has covered the spread in 12 of the Broncos’ last 13 games.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against AFC West opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in six of the Broncos’ last seven Week 5 games.
- The Chargers have won the first quarter in each of their last three October games as underdogs against the Broncos.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Chargers have lost each of their last six Sunday games.
- The Broncos have won each of their last six Sunday games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Broncos and Chargers.
- The Chargers have lost the first half in six of their last seven games.
- The Chargers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Chargers’ last six games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Broncos’ last six games as favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Omarion Hampton has scored a touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last four home games.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last six Sunday appearances with the Chargers as underdogs.
- Omarion Hampton has recorded 45+ rushing yards in each of his six previous regular season appearances with the Chargers as underdogs.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 237+ passing yards in nine of his 10 previous appearances against the Broncos.
- Omarion Hampton has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 regular season appearances.
- Oronde Gadsden II has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Chargers’ last four October games.
- Heading into Week 5, Daiyan Henley ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- RJ Harvey has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Broncos’ last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in seven of the Broncos’ last eight games following a road loss.
- RJ Harvey has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his last five regular season appearances with the Broncos as favorites.
- Bo Nix has recorded 288+ passing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games as favorites following a road loss.
- Evan Engram has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last nine October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 17+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last seven games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Heading into Week 5, Alex Singleton leads the league in tackles (47) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 5, the Chargers have averaged just 12.7 points over their last seven games – fewest in the league over that span.
- Heading into Week 5, the Chargers have recorded the equal-most losses in games when recording more total yards than their opponent this season (2).
- Heading into Week 5, the Broncos have lost the second quarter in each of their last four games – equal-longest active streak in the league.
- Heading into Week 5, the Broncos have won two games from a half-time deficit this season – equal-most in the league.
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
Part of me wants to grab the points with the Chargers as this is a playoff team on paper. The problem is the Chargers look broken, especially on the offensive side where they’re 24th in passing and 29th in scoring. A team quarterbacked by Herbert shouldn’t be this bad. The Broncos have issues of their own, but they can defend, and that’s the difference in this game. The Chargers likely aren’t going to figure things out in this spot. This has more to do with the Chargers stinking than anything else. I’ll lay the points.