Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Cleveland Browns (1-5) vs Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)

Game Info: Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Huntington Bank Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Browns +6.5 / Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 — Over/Under: 41.5

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 20th at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland. Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are 2-4 this season after they defeated the Giants by a score of 17-7 in their last game. Cincinnati allowed the Giants to tie the game at seven in the third quarter, but they scored the last 10 points in the game for the win. The Bengals were outgained by a total of 309-304, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-15 on third down in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 208 yards on 19 completions, while also rushing for 55 yards and one score.

Cincinnati also has a win over the Panthers, but they have four losses against New England, Kansas City, Washington, and Baltimore. The Cincinnati offense has scored 26.2 points per game with 249.7 passing yards and 100.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.3 points per game this season. The Bengals have gone 45.8% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down through six games. Joe Burrow has completed 71.6% of his passes for 1,578 yards, 12 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 34 passes for 565 yards and five scores.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 1-5 this year after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 20-16 in their last game. Cleveland tied the game at 10 in the second quarter and tied the game at 13 in the fourth, but they couldn’t find the end zone in the second half in the loss. The Browns were outgained by a total of 372-244, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 3-12 on third down in the game. Deshaun Watson threw for 168 yards on 16 completions, while Pierre Strong rushed for 43 yards.

Cleveland also has losses against Dallas, Las Vegas, Washington, and the Giants, but they do have one win against Jacksonville. The Cleveland offense has scored 15.8 points per game with 143 passing yards and 97.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.5 points per game this season. The Browns have gone 19.2% on third down and 10-16 on fourth down so far this season. Deshaun Watson has completed 61.3% of his passes for 1,020 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 20 passes for 248 yards and one score.

Why the Bengals will cover

The favorites have won each of the Browns’ last eight Week 7 games.
The Browns have lost each of their last seven Week 7 games as underdogs.
The Bengals have covered the spread in eight of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Browns have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home underdogs before a Division game.
The Bengals have won the first quarter in four of their last five Week 7 games against AFC North opponents.
The favorites have won the first half in seven of the Browns’ last eight Week 7 games.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Bengals’ last four road games following a road win has gone UNDER the total points line.
Six of the Browns’ last seven Week 7 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the last three games between teams from the same division has gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Browns as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 22+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances against division opponents.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 234+ passing yards in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home underdog.
David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last eight regular-season appearances against AFC opponents.
Nick Chubb has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances.
Deshaun Watson has thrown three or more touchdowns in six of his seven previous October home appearances against AFC opponents.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last five October home appearances.
Heading into Week 7, Denzel Ward ranks T1st in the league for passes defensed (10) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in six of his last seven regular-season appearances with the Bengals as favorites against AFC North opponents.
Joe Burrow has recorded 283+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances following a win.
Tanner Hudson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances against conference opponents.
Chase Brown has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals’ last three games as favorites.
Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC North opponents.
Chase Brown has recorded 46+ rushing yards in each of the Bengals’ last four games.
Joe Burrow has recorded 27+ completions in four of his last five appearances following a win.
Heading into Week 7, Joe Burrow ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (110.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (1781) this season.
Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (19.2%) this season.
Heading into Week 7, the Bengals rank T29th in the NFL in average punt return (6.0 yards) this season.
Heading into Week 7, the Bengals rank T4th in the NFL in Q3 points per game (6.7) this season.