New York Jets (2-3) vs Buffalo Bills (3-2)
Game Info: Monday, October 14, 2024 at 8:15 pm (MetLife Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Jets +2.5 / Buffalo Bills -2.5 — Over/Under: 40.5
In this article, we will formulate a Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction for this NFL game on Monday, October 14th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills are 3-2 this season after they lost to Houston by a score of 23-20 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 20-3 in the third quarter, but they came back to tie the game, before allowing a field goal as time expired for the loss. The Bills were outgained by a total of 425-276, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Josh Allen threw for 131 yards and one touchdown on just nine completions, while James Cook rushed for 82 yards and one score.
Buffalo also lost to Baltimore by a score of 35-10 in the game prior to Houston but did open the season with three wins over Arizona, Miami, and Jacksonville. The Buffalo offense has scored 28.4 points per game with 181.6 passing yards and 118.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.2 points per game this season. The Bills have gone 32.1% on third down and 7-7 on fourth down through five games. Josh Allen has completed 60.3% of his passes for 945 yards and eight touchdowns, while James Cook has rushed for 309 yards and four scores.
New York Jets Betting Preview
The New York Jets are 2-3 this year after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 23-17 in their last game. New York trailed 17-0 late in the first half, but they did fight back and had a chance to win the game at the end, before throwing an interception. The Jets outgained the Vikings by a total of 254-253, lost the turnover battle 3-2, and went 5-17 on third down in the game. Aaron Rodgers threw for 244 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Garrett Wilson caught 13 passes for 101 yards and one score.
New York also has losses against Denver and San Francisco, but they do have two wins against New England and Tennessee. The NY offense has scored 18.6 points per game with 206.2 passing yards and 80.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17 points per game this season. The Jets have gone 42.3% on third down and 0-3 on fourth down so far this season. Aaron Rodgers has completed 61% of his passes for 1,093 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Garrett Wilson has caught 33 passes for 292 yards and two scores.
Why the Jets will cover
- The home team has won each of the last five games between the Bills and Jets.
- The Bills have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against AFC East opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Jets’ last eight Week 6 games.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games in October.
- The Jets have won the first half in five of their last six Week 6 home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Jets have won the first quarter in five of their last six Week 6 home games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Jets’ last eight games against the Bills following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Bills’ last five games as favorites against the Jets has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven games between AFC East teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Breece Hall has scored a touchdown in four of his five previous October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Jets’ last six October games.
- Mike Williams has recorded 32+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC opponents.
- Breece Hall has recorded 56+ rushing yards in each of his four previous October appearances with the Jets as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 246+ passing yards in each of his last six October home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight October home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight Monday home appearances.
- Heading into Week 6, Will McDonald ranks T2nd in the NFL in sacks (6.0) this season.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Khalil Shakir has scored a touchdown in each of the Bills’ last four games played as favorites on the East Coast.
- James Cook has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last four games as favorites.
- Dawson Knox has recorded 15+ receiving yards in 16 of his 18 previous appearances with the Bills as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- James Cook has recorded 67+ rushing yards in each of the Bills’ last six games as favorites following a loss.
- Josh Allen has recorded 236+ passing yards in eight of the Bills’ last nine games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
- Josh Allen has thrown two or more touchdowns in eight of the Bills’ last nine games in October.
- Josh Allen has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Bills’ last four October games against AFC East opponents.
- Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Jets rank 2nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (136.6) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Jets are one of only two teams in the NFL to rank top 5 for both sacks and fumbles recovered this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Bills rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Bills rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (9.0) this season.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after losing a close game last week against Minnesota and firing their head coach earlier this week, so we will see if the Jets can overcome that distraction here. The Jets have not played very well this year and Rodgers has not been able to get into a rhythm, but they did look better in the second half last week. Buffalo had some very questionable coaching decisions late in last week’s loss and while they did show some good fight in the second half, I like the Jets here. I think the coaching change is going to give the Jets a boost, while they build on the momentum from last week’s second half. Take the Jets at home.