San Antonio Spurs (26-37) vs Dallas Mavericks (33-33)
Game Info: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Frost Bank Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs -5.5 — Over/Under: 237.5
The Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Suns, beat the Spurs, and they play the Rockets, 76ers, and Pacers next. The Mavs have a chance to win two straight games for the first time in the second half of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kai Jones is averaging 21 points and 8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Klay Thompson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Mavs and Timberwolves, and then play the Hornets, Pelicans, and Lakers next. The Spurs have lost eight of their last 10 games and are 5.5 games out of a play-in spot.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 113.4 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 46.9 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.1 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.7 points and 2.9 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last four night games following a road win.
- The favorites have won nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Mavericks’ last six games.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last 12 night games against Spurs teams that held a losing record.
- The Spurs have lost 17 of their last 18 Wednesday night games at Frost Bank Center.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Spurs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (93.2).
- The Spurs have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons – the equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
- The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (57.6%).
- The Mavericks rank 5th in the league for blocks per game this season (5.7).
Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, Victor Wembanyama, and Charles Bassey. Jeremy Sochan and Devin Vessell are questionable for the Spurs.
The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kai Jones, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Jaden Hardy, and PJ Washington. Dante Exum and Caleb Martin are questionable.
Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
This is another game where the line doesn’t make sense. The Spurs are obviously the healthier team at home, but they just lost to the Mavs a couple of days ago as 6.5-point favorites. While the Mavericks have endless injuries, the Spurs have been freefalling for over a month now and they’re 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The Mavs have also won seven straight games against the Spurs. The Spurs haven’t beaten the Mavs since April 2023. I don’t want to back the Mavs as much as the next guy, but I’m not laying this many points with the Spurs in their current form. It’s Mavs or pass for me.