Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 4/27/25 MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB doubleheader action from Yankee Stadium. These will be the second and final installments in a three-game weekend series. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Blue Jays vs Yankees pick. We will examine: 

The Toronto Blue Jays’ recent form and player performance

The New York Yankees’ recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the Blue Jays and Yankees

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Blue Jays vs Yankees games

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Blue Jays kicked off their year with a split in four games against the Baltimore Orioles, then came a sweep over the Washington Nationals, followed by a sweep from the New York Mets. The Blue Jays then won three straight versus the Boston Red Sox ahead of a finale defeat. After a two-game split versus the Orioles, Toronto took out the Braves in a set, then fell in a series versus the Mariners. Toronto was swept in three games versus the Houston Astros this past week as well. On Friday versus New York, the Jays came back from a late 2-1 deficit to post a 4-2 victory in the end. Alejandro Kirk had two hits and two RBI, while Jose Berrios went 5.1 clean innings in the start. 

Saturday’s game was postponed due to weather. 

The starting pitcher for game one will be the Blue Jays’ Kevin Gausman. So far this year, Gausman is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 26 strikeouts. 

As a starter for Sunday’s game two, the Jays are rolling with Chris Bassitt. This year, in five starts, Bassitt is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA over 28.2 innings total. Bassitt is 74-57 with a 3.55 ERA in 205 career games (192 starts) at the MLB level. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the New York side, they swept the Milwaukee Brewers to kick off the season, then lost in a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks before victories in two of three versus the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Yanks would lose their next two series versus the Detroit Tigers and San Francisco Giants, then bag a sweep over the Royals. New York took victories in three of four against the Tampa Bay Rays last weekend, then lost their first two matchups with Cleveland this week. The Yankees staved off the sweep with a Wednesday win, though. On Friday, New York gave up three runs in the eighth. Carlos Carrasco put up 5.0 clean innings, three hits, two walks, and two Ks as a starter. 

In the Sunday game one, the Yankees will send out Max Fried as a starter. Fried is 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 30 strikeouts so far this season. 

It’ll be Clarke Schmidt in the game two starter slot for New York on Sunday. So far this year, Schmidt is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA in two starts, posting 9.2 innings total. Schmidt is 19-21 with a 4.05 ERA in 85 career games (55 starts). 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five day games following a road win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Fourteen of the Blue Jays’ last 16 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against American League opponents.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

I’m probably going to lean Yankees for game one. New York’s fortunes get a boost with Fried on the mound. In his last three starts, he’s a smooth 3-0 with just two earned runs on 12 hits and four walks combined over 21.1 innings total. As for Gausman, he’s coming off four earned runs on six hits and three walks in 6.0 innings during a loss to the Astros on April 21. That said, Gausman’s prior two starts were good. He managed just two combined earned runs on 10 hits and no walks over 14.0 innings in that pair.

I’ll lean toward Toronto in game two. Both starters could use a good showing, though. Bassitt took a loss versus Houston his last time up, surrendering four earned in 5.1 innings. Prior to that, however, Bassitt had gone 1-0 with just one earned run over 10.2 innings in two starts. As for Schmidt, he’s coming off a pretty rough outing versus the Guardians on April 21, giving up five earned runs on seven hits and three walks in 4.0 innings of work. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Game 1: New York Yankees -189 — Game 2: Toronto Blue Jays +170