| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 21-26 | 29-19 |
| Spread | +1.5 -181 | -1.5 149 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -137 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (100) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Pick.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 21-26 on the year and play the Marlins and Pirates next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .243 on the season and have a .306 OBP, and a .373 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 51 hits and 16 RBI while Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 90 hits and 35 RBI.
Dylan Cease gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. Cease is 1-2 with a 5.34 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 29-19 on the year and play the Royals and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .237 on the season and have a .333 OBP, and a .433 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 46 hits and 30 RBI while Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger have combined for 91 hits and 63 RBI.
Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 5-1 with a 3.42 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 11 games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 home games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The underdogs have won 10 of the last 15 games between the Blue Jays and Yankees.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games at Yankee Stadium.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against AL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Yankees’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances at Yankee Stadium.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Cease has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against the Yankees.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (220).
- The Yankees rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.221).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for steals this season (16).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (136).
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction
Cease has been fantastic this season with a 2.41 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through 52.1 innings, but it doesn’t matter if the Blue Jays continue to lose on the road. Warren has also been respectable with his 3.42 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 47.1 innings. The Yankees have just been more consistent and the price is reasonable. I’m not stepping in front of the Yankees, especially with the Blue Jays’ struggles on the road this season.