| MATCHUP | Texas Rangers | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 41-42 | 39-44 |
| Spread | +1.5 -191 | -1.5 157 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -132 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-114) |
| Where | Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario | |
| When | Sunday, June 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:37 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 39-44 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 22-23 home record and are coming off a 4-7 home defeat against the Rangers. They will face the Mets and the Mariners next.
The Blue Jays have a .249 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 53, adding a team-high 19 home runs.
Shane Bieber (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 0-0 record, 9.82 ERA and 2.45 WHIP.
Texas Rangers Preview
The Texas Rangers have a 41-42 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL West. They have a 22-24 road record and are coming off a 7-4 road win against the Blue Jays. They will face the Guardians and the Tigers next.
The Rangers have a .243 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Josh Jung is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Jake Burger leads the team in RBI with 50, adding a team-high 14 home runs.
Kumar Rocker (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 2-6 record, 4.14 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: June 28, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Bieber Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 9.82
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Rangers: 0-1
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Rangers have lost five of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kumar Rocker Record this season: 2-6 ERA: 4.14
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won each of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last 14 games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last 10 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as home favorites.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against American League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (93) this season.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Joc Pederson has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
- Kumar Rocker has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 13 day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (230).
- The Rangers rank 25th in the league for RBIs this season (325).
- The Rangers rank T6th in the league for walks allowed this season (246).
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Rangers have won their last four meetings against the Jays, all of them in Toronto. Their last six meetings have also gone over the total.
In this Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -130 home favorites. I am with the Rangers in this one, mainly to fade a struggling Blue Jays team that has lost five straight games. Bieber was torched in his first start of the season for Toronto while Rocker has given up 2 runs or less in six of his last eight games. On top of that, the Rangers have been far better against righties in the last 10 days, so take them on the moneyline in this one for plus money.