Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

1 hour ago

Jun 24, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan (41) delivers a pitch against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first inning at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Texas Rangers	Minnesota Twins
Team Records	79-80	75-84
Spread	-1.5 153	+1.5 -186
Moneyline	-112	-108
Total	Over 7.5 (-118)	Under 7.5 (-102)
Where	Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
When	Friday, September 25, 2026
Time	08:10 PM EDT
TV	MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Twins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, September 25th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 75-84 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL Central. They have a 40-38 home record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Giants.

The Minnesota Twins have a .244 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Luke Keaschall is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 92, while Kody Clemens adds a team-high 26 home runs.

Joe Ryan (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 6-10 record, 3.83 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 79-80 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL West. They have a 34-44 away record and are coming off a 3-1 home win against the Mets.

The Texas Rangers have a .242 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Nimmo is the team’s best hitter with a .260 batting average. Jake Burger leads the team in RBI with 89, adding a team-high 27 home runs.

Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 11-10 record, 3.86 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: September 25, 2026

Probable Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan Record this season: 6-10 ERA: 3.83
Home Record: 3-5
Last 5 against Rangers: 2-1

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents following a win.
The Twins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Rangers.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents following a win.
The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last five games against the Rangers.
The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Rangers.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Rangers.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom Record this season: 11-10 ERA: 3.86
Road Record: 3-7
Last 5 against Twins: 0-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Twins have lost each of their last six games against AL opponents following a win.
The Rangers have won seven of their last eight night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a win.
The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against AL opponents.
The Twins have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as favorites against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the Twins’ last eight home games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last seven games between the Rangers and Twins.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against AL West opponents.
Ryan Kreidler has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four games as road favorites.
Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Tadeo Osuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Rangers as road favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

The Twins rank 26th in the league for walks this season (497).
The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.57).
The Rangers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (661).
The Rangers rank 25th in the league for RBIs this season (637).

Rangers vs Twins Prediction

The Twins have won their last four meetings against the Rangers but have lost two of their last three meetings in Minnesota.

In this Rangers vs Twins Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Rangers need this win but i cannot trust them on the road when they lost two of their three against the Mets and deGrom has been bad on the road with a 3-7 record and 5.35 ERA. Joe Ryan has not been in good shape either, but still has a 3.76 home ERA and the Twins have both a better offense and bullpen in their last 5 games. Take the Twins to win at home.