Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 7/23/24

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 23rd at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Rays recent form and recent player performance 
• The Blue Jays recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto
• Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Toronto
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Toronto 

Rays Trying to Keep Momentum 

The Tampa Bay Rays are 50-50 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series split with the Yankees, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Guardians, won two out of three against the Yankees, and lost all three against the Rangers. Tampa Bay is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 393 runs with a .235 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .252 with 16 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay has scored two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Blue Jays Lose Another Series 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-54 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against Detroit, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Giants, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Toronto is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 402 runs with a .237 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. George Springer is batting .231 with 13 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least five runs in six straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 8-7 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 119.0 innings pitched this year. Berrios has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Tyler Alexander, who is 2-3 with a 6.19 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this season. Alexander hasn’t pitched in the majors since late May and he has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four outings. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents.

Why the Rays will beat the Blue Jays

• The Rays have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games following a home win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six Tuesday night games at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Rogers Centre.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
• Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Jose Berrios has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as home favorites.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Jose Siri has scored at least one run in four of the Rays’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two games as road underdogs.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances.
• Amed Rosario has recorded two RBIs in three of his last four road appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

These two teams come into this series in the bottom two spots of the AL East standings, but Tampa Bay is right at the .500 mark and they have played decently well over the last ten days. The Rays are 23-23 on the road, while the Blue Jays are 22-26 at home. Toronto has been a huge disappointment this season and they will most likely be sellers at the trade deadline. The Blue Jays are going with Berrios, who has pitched very poorly recently. The Rays haven’t officially announced a starter for this game, but it sounds like it could be Alexander, who has not pitched well in the MLB this year. I think we are going to see plenty of offense in this game and my Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5