Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/9/24

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 9th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Rays’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Phillies’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-72 this year and they have split their last four games. Tampa Bay is coming from a series win against Baltimore, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rays split four games with the Twins, lost two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Mariners. Tampa Bay is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Rays’ offense has scored 554 runs with a .231 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .279 with 14 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-58 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series split against Miami, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Phillies won both games against the Blue Jays, won three out of four against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Astros. Philadelphia is 11-4 in their last 15 games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 700 runs with a .259 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .285 with 26 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Cole Sulser, who is 0-0 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this season. Sulser has allowed zero earned runs in three appearances with Tampa Bay (5.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 10-9 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 159.0 innings pitched this year. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Rays

• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have lost six of their last seven night games following a road win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight night games following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Phillies’ last nine night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays’ last five night games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five road games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his six previous home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against AL East opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Rays’ last nine night games.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays’ last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one Double in three of the Rays’ last four road games against NL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia is coming off of an interesting series split with the Marlins, but they have played very well over the last few weeks. The Phillies are 47-25 at home this year, while the Rays are 34-34 on the road. Tampa Bay has struggled to score runs this year, but they did enough to take two out of three against the Orioles over the weekend. The Phillies have a much better starting pitcher and they have been great at home, so I am taking them to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5