| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-7 | 6-12 |
| Where | Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Thursday, April 16, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs White Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, April 16th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago White Sox Preview
The Chicago White Sox have a 6-12 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL Central. They have a 3-5 home record and are coming off a 3-8 home loss against the Rays. Their previous three games were a 5-8 home loss against the Rays, a 6-5 road win, and a 0-2 road loss against the Royals.
The White Sox have a .193 batting average this season, .284 OBP and .306 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 5.02 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Chase Meidroth is the team’s best hitter with a .203 batting average. Munetaka Murakami leads the team in RBI with 9, also adding a team‑high 5 home runs.
Anthony Kay (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and he has a 1-0 record, 2.45 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 10-7 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 6-5 away record and are coming off an 8-3 road win against the White Sox. Their previous three games were an 8-5 road win against the White Sox, and a 5-4 and a 5-4 home win against the Yankees.
The Rays have a .266 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Chandler Simpson is the team’s best hitter with a .381 batting average. Yandy Diaz leads the team in RBI with 16, also adding a team‑high 3 home runs.
Steven Matz (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 3-0 record, 3.94 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: April 16, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jordan Leasure Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 4.00
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Rays: 2-0
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have lost 12 of their last 18 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home day games.
- The White Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The White Sox have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Steven Matz Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 3.94
- Road Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against White Sox: 0-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games.
- The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Rays and White Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Rays and White Sox.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 20 of the Rays’ last 25 day games against AL Central opponents.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
- Austin Hays has hit a home run in three of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the White Sox after playing the previous day.
- Steven Matz has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Yandy Diaz ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The White Sox rank 30th in the league for hits this season (110).
- The White Sox rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (49).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (120).
- The Rays rank T2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (126).
Rays vs White Sox Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Chicago.
In this Rays vs White Sox Prediction, the Rays are coming as -130 road favorites. The Rays have won both games of this series having scored 8 runs in each one and there is no reason to not keep backing them up with Matz on the mound. He has a mediocre ERA but a sub-one WHIP and the Rays’ bullpen is no longer the worst in baseball. They also have a superior offense, scoring almost two runs per game more than the White Sox, who have a measly .192 batting average this season. Take the Rays to win this one on the road.