Milwaukee Brewers (81-57) vs St. Louis Cardinals (69-69)
Game Info: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 7:40 pm (American Family Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -106 / St. Louis Cardinals -111 — Over/Under:
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Cardinals vs Brewers pick. We will examine:
The St. Louis Cardinals’ recent form and player performance
The Milwaukee Brewers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Cardinals and Brewers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cardinals vs Brewers game
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The Cardinals played the New York Yankees over the weekend and won two of three games. After a 9-3 loss to the Brewers in the opener, on Tuesday St. Louis powered out a marathon 12-inning win 7-4. Starter Steven Matz finished with 4.2 innings and three earned runs.
In the starter slot for Wednesday, the Cardinals are going with Sonny Gray. So far Gray is 12-9 with a 3.96 ERA in 25 starts. Gray is 110-94 with a 3.51 ERA in 304 career games (295 starts).
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they managed to win the first trio of games versus the Cincinnati Reds over the weekend but fell 4-3 on Sunday. On Tuesday Milwaukee was out-hit 9-5 and committed two errors in the lengthy loss. Aaron Civale went 5.0 innings in the start with three earned runs.
Colin Rea will start for the Brewers on Wednesday. This year Rea is 12-4 with a 3.70 ERA in 26 games (23 starts). Rea is 26-18 with a 4.38 ERA in 88 games (72 starts) across his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last six road games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine home games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Cardinals and Brewers at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Blake Perkins has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last seven home games against NL opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games.
- Willy Adames has recorded at least one total base in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games.
- Willy Adames has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in 14 of the Brewers’ last 15 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (40) this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Wednesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of the Cardinals’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nolan Gorman has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Sonny Gray ranks 8th in the league for total Strikeouts (179) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (526).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).
- The St. Louis Cardinals rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (1110).
- The St. Louis Cardinals rank 24th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.250).
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’ll stay with the Brewers. Rea hasn’t been spectacular over his last two starts though, notching seven earned in 10.2 innings. That said, Rea is 2-0 in his last three combined with seven earned in 17.2 frames. As for Gray, he’s 1-1 in his last pair with six earned in 12.0 innings.
On Tuesday the Brewers got three RBI off a pair of homers, however not much else was happening offensively. A lot of guys saw use out of the bullpen, so it’ll be important for Rea to have a lengthy start Wednesday. Should be another good one.