Cincinnati Reds (57-61) vs St. Louis Cardinals (60-58)
Game Info: Wednesday, August 14, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +106 / St. Louis Cardinals -125 — Over/Under:
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Cardinals pick. We will examine:
The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends in games played between the Cardinals and Reds
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cardinals vs Reds game
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
In their weekend set the Cardinals took on the Kansas City Royals. St. Louis won 8-5 Friday then dropped the Saturday matchup 8-3. Following a 6-1 loss to the Reds in their series opener, on Tuesday the Cards posted just four team hits in a 4-1 loss. Starting pitcher Erick Fedde lasted 6.0 innings with four earned runs.
Starter for Wednesday will be St. Louis’ Kyle Gibson. This year Gibson is 7-4 with a 3.99 ERA in 22 starts. Gibson is 111-104 with a 4.50 ERA in 322 games (316 starts).
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Milwaukee Brewers in their last set. Cincinnati lost the first two games 8-3 and 1-0 before staving off the sweep with a 4-3 Sunday win. On Tuesday the Reds got 7.0 innings with one earned run out of starter Hunter Greene.
Carson Spiers will start for Cincinnati on Wednesday. This year Spiers is 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA in 13 games (eight starts). Spiers is 4-5 with a 4.88 ERA in 17 games (10 starts) in his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Cardinals and Reds at Great American Ball Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Cardinals’ last six night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three games as underdogs.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in five of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as underdogs against the Cardinals.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Spencer Steer has scored at least one run in five of the Reds’ last six games as home underdogs against the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances.
- Nolan Arenado has scored a run in five of his last six appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Nolan Gorman has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three road appearances against the Reds.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight road appearances against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’ll take a stab on St. Louis. Gibson is pitching pretty well these days despite a rough record. Over his last three starts combined Gibson is 0-1 but he’s got a decent line with 18.0 innings and eight earned runs. As for Spiers, he’s coming off a loss to Milwaukee with eight earned in 5.0 innings but was doing better before that.
On Tuesday the Cardinals had a pretty miserable offensive outing outside of Nolan Arenado’s solo home run. The good news is that St. Louis only used two arms out of the bullpen (in a nice effort) so they’ll be fresh for the finale. The bats have to come around, though.