Chicago Cubs (54-58) vs St. Louis Cardinals (56-54)
Game Info: Saturday, August 3, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -125 / St. Louis Cardinals +105 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 3rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Cardinals recent form and recent player performance
- The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
- Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and Chicago
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between St. Louis and Chicago
Cardinals Lose Ground in the NL Central
The St. Louis Cardinals are 56-54 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. St. Louis has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 11 runs. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Rangers, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. St. Louis is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 461 runs with a .246 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Masyn Winn is batting .283 with eight home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has allowed at least five runs in six of their last nine games.
Cubs are Going for Four Straight Wins
The Chicago Cubs are 54-58 this season and they have won three games in a row. Chicago has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 6-3. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Reds, won two out of three against the Royals, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Chicago is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 468 runs with a .234 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Seiya Suzuki is batting .275 with 16 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored at least five runs in five of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Gibson, who is 7-4 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this year. Gibson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 7-6 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this season. Taillon has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow six earned runs to Cincinnati last time out.
Why the Cubs will beat the Cardinals
- The home team has won each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
- The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Cardinals.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Cubs
- The Cubs have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Cubs’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cardinals’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three day games against NL Central opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as home favorites.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Cubs as favorites against NL opponents.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Nick Madrigal has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in two of the Cardinals’ last three games as underdogs.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last eight Saturday games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 12 Saturday day games.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Crawford has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Chicago comes into this game with some much needed momentum and they have won five of their last seven games. The Cubs have played their best baseball at home, where they are 29-25 on the year. The Cardinals are 27-29 on the road and their pitching staff has had some struggles over the last ten days. St. Louis is starting Kyle Gibson, who has had more than a few rough starts this season, but he has been solid in his last two. Chicago is going with Taillon, who has been mostly good over his last five starts. Regardless of the recent performance from each starter, I do think the offenses will get going in this matchup, so my St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for this game to go over the total.