Oakland Athletics (20-17) vs Seattle Mariners (21-14)
Game Info: Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 3:35 pm (Sutter Health Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Oakland Athletics +130 / Seattle Mariners -155 — Over/Under: 9
In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 7, at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (21-14, 9-8 Away) won eight consecutive series and now are looking to add one more against the Athletics. Before this series in Sacramento, the Mariners beat the Rangers, Angels, and Marlins. Seattle lost Game 1 to the A’s but responded with a 5-3 victory last night. Cal Raleigh led the offense with two RBI, while Emerson Hancock pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with two strikeouts and two walks. Collin Snider was credited with the win.
This year, the Mariners average 5.11 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .245/.340/.414 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.72 ERA (12th) and 1.31 WHIP (21st). Jorge Polanco leads the Mariners with a .356 batting average, nine home runs, and 27 RBI this season.
Bryan Woo will take the mound for the Mariners on Wednesday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 4-1 record in six starts this year with a 2.58 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 38.1 innings.
Athletics Betting Preview
The Athletics (20-17, 7-10 Home) surprisingly won the last four series, defeating the Rangers (twice), White Sox, and Marlins, and now have an opportunity to beat the Mariners and make it five straight. The A’s opened the series with a 7-6 victory, but the Mariners bounced back with a 5-3 win in Game 2. Miguel Andujar led the team with two RBI, while Jeffrey Springs pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks. Tyler Ferguson took the loss.
This season, the Athletics average 4.32 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .257/.320/.420 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Athletics’ staff has a 4.42 ERA (25th) and 1.40 WHIP (24th). Tyler Soderstrom leads the Athletics with a .291 batting average, nine home runs, and 25 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Athletics is Gunnar Hogland, who is 1-0 in one start this season, with a 1.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 6.0 innings.
Why the Mariners will beat the Athletics
- The Mariners have won 10 of their last 11 day games against American League opponents.
- The Athletics have lost seven of their last eight day games against the Mariners following a home loss.
- The Mariners have covered the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last four day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Athletics’ last 12 games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Mariners’ last 15 road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last four home games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Athletics rank 28th in the league for steals this season (17).
- The Athletics rank T4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (272).
- The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Mariners rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (50).
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction
The Mariners won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the series is tied at 3-3. I am going with the Mariners here because they should have an advantage in the pitching matchup. Hoglund is a rookie with only one MLB start under his belt, and although he did impress against the Marlins, he’s going to have a much harder job against Seattle. Woo already faced the A’s this year and got the win as he posted a 1.50 ERA in 6.0 innings. Woo allowed a .163 BA in 92 at-bats against the Athletics in his career. Give me the Mariners here.