Boston Red Sox (55-48) vs Seattle Mariners (55-51)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +106 / Seattle Mariners -125 — Over/Under:
The Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Mariners and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mariners vs Red Sox game
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Mariners took on the Chicago White Sox. Seattle didn’t have too much trouble there, taking a sweep. On Monday versus Boston, the Mariners took a 14-7 loss. Starter Logan Gilbert finished with just 2.2 innings and seven earned runs.
In the starter slot for the Mariners on Tuesday will be Luis Castillo. This year Castillo is 8-10 with a 3.38 ERA in 22 starts.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the New York Yankees over the weekend. Boston won 9-7 on Friday before dropping the weekend games. On Monday the Sox got 6.2 innings, three earned runs and 10 Ks from starter Nick Pivetta.
It’ll be James Paxton in the starter role for the Sox on Tuesday. So far Paxton is 8-2 with a 4.43 ERA in 18 starts. Paxton is 72-40 with a 3.76 career ERA in 174 starts.
Mariners vs Red Sox Pick Injury Notes
Red Sox 1B Triston Casas (ribs) is expected to begin a rehab assignment Tuesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the last 15 games between the Mariners and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous appearances against the Mariners at Fenway Park.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances at Fenway Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances.
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Trevor Story has hit at least one home run in three of his four previous appearances against the Mariners at Fenway Park.
- James Paxton has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- J.P. Crawford has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’ll stay with the Mariners here, even with the rough Monday performance. Seattle should get a good start out of Castillo. Over his last three starts combined, Castillo is 1-1 with just three earned (all in one game) over 19.0 total frames. As for Paxton, he’s given up six earned over his last 8.2 innings.
On Monday the Mariners coughed up a whopping seven runs in the third inning alone and things only got worse from there. Seattle had to use four arms out of the bullpen to get through the game. Castillo getting a quality outing Tuesday is imperative.