Minnesota Twins (18-20) vs San Francisco Giants (24-14)
Game Info: Friday, May 9, 2025 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -115 / San Francisco Giants -105 — Over/Under: 9
The San Francisco Giants and the Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Francisco Giants will send out Jordan Hicks for the start here and Hicks is 1-3 with a 6.03 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. This will be Hicks’ first career start against the Twins. The Minnesota Twins will send out Chris Paddack for the start here, and Paddack is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Giants, Paddack is 0-1 with a 4.34 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
San Francisco Giants Recap
The San Francisco Giants come into this game looking to build on their 3-1 win over the Chicago Cubs last time out to improve to 24-14 on the year. After this series, the Giants will head home for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Giants Win 5 Of Their Last 6
Jung Hoo Lee leads the Giants with 43 hits, including a team-high 11 doubles along with a pair of triples, 4 home runs, and 23 RBIs with 3 stolen bases, while Heliot Ramos has 36 hits with 9 doubles, 5 home runs, and 14 RBIs. Wilmer Flores also has a team-high 7 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Mike Yastrzemski has 5 home runs with 17 RBIs and 7 doubles, and Tyler Fitzgerald has a team-high 5 stolen bases as well on the year.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Giants have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Matt Chapman has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Matt Chapman has scored at least one run in each of the Giants’ last six games.
- Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Tom Murphy has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Tom Murphy has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Twins.
- Tom Murphy has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles last time out to improve to 18-20 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a rematch series against the Orioles.
Twins Win Five In A Row
Byron Buxton has 37 hits along with 5 doubles, a team-high 9 home runs, and 25 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and a pair of triples, while Carlos Correa has 30 hits with 8 doubles, and Willi Castro has 17 hits with 6 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 4 home runs and 16 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 47 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 38 hits, 8 doubles, 3 home runs, and 21 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 5 home runs and 17 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last six games at Target Field.
- The Giants have lost each of their last five night games following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a win.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Willi Castro has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
- Byron Buxton ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Giants’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Twins here. I just think that the Twins have the more reliable starting option here as Hicks has a tendency to overdo it with how hard he throws and the Twins are starting to wake up offensively. Chris Paddack hasn’t been terrible in his abbreviated outings as of late, and I think the Twins get the job done to draw first blood at home here. Give me Minnesota in this one.