New York Mets (31-37) vs San Diego Padres (37-36)
Game Info: Sunday, June 16, 2024 at 1:40 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -101 / San Diego Padres -109 — Over/Under:
The San Diego Padres and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance
• The New York Mets recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Mets
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Mets game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
Early this week the Padres took on the Oakland Athletics. San Diego did well in that series, winning 6-1, 4-3 and 5-4 for a sweep. The Padres took a tough 2-1 loss to the Mets on Friday in the opener, then in game two San Diego had just two hits in a 5-1 loss. Starting pitcher Adam Mazur lasted 3.2 innings with two earned on three hits and six walks.
For the starter role in the finale the Padres will turn to Dylan Cease. This year Cease is 6-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 101 Ks in 83.0 innings over 14 starts. Cease is 49-40 with a 3.78 career ERA in 137 starts total.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Miami Marlins in their last series. New York lost 4-2 in the opener of that set but came back for wins 10-4 and 3-2 to take it. Following their close win Friday, in game two the Mets scored three runs in the fourth inning along the way to 10 team hits. Jose Quintana managed 6.0 innings in the start with one earned on two hits and two walks.
It’ll be Tylor Megill in the starter role for the Mets on Sunday. This year Megill is 1-3 with a 3.51 ERA in five starts. He has 32 Ks in 25.2 innings. Megill is 18-19 with a 4.61 ERA in 63 career games (57 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three home games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Tylor Megill has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Mets as home underdogs.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents at Citi Field.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Padres.
- J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in two of the Mets’ last three home games against NL opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games against NL opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents .
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Padres’ last five games as road favorites.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
- Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction
I’ll just stay with the Padres. Cease had a couple of spotty starts going early this month with six earned in 11.1 innings total for an 0-1 record. In his last start however, Cease posted a victory with 6.0 innings, one earned run, eight hits and a walk. As for Megill, he’s given up seven earned over his last 9.2 innings.
On Saturday the Padres couldn’t do much of anything on offense and got burned by a great evening from New York’s JD Martinez (three hits; two homers; two walks; three RBI). San Diego needs to get the bats going in the finale.