Miami Marlins (43-72) vs San Diego Padres (64-52)
Game Info: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 1:40 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +179 / San Diego Padres -213 — Over/Under:
The San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Padres vs Marlins pick. We will examine:
The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Marlins game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
In their last series the Padres played the Pittsburgh Pirates. San Diego swept that set, taking wins 6-0, 9-8 and 7-6. Following a 6-2 win over the Marlins in the opener, in game two the Padres eked out a 9-8 win. Starting pitcher Matt Waldron finished with 4.1 innings and five earned.
Starter for the Padres on Sunday will be Dylan Cease. This year Cease is 11-8 with a 3.40 ERA in 24 starts. Cease is 54-43 with a 3.76 ERA in 147 career starts.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they took on the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Miami was only able to win one of those four games, taking a 6-4 affair on Wednesday. In game two Saturday the Marlins blew a 7-3 lead in the seventh inning. Roddery Munoz left after 5.0 innings and three earned in the start.
Starting pitcher for the finale will be Max Meyer for Miami. This season Meyer is 2-2 with a 5.10 ERA in six starts. Over eight career starts Meyer is 2-3 with a 5.50 ERA.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one Double in three of the Padres’ last four games at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has hit at least one home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as road favorites.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
- Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last six games.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 road appearances after playing the previous day.
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll stay with the Padres, but the line’s probably too thick to mess with. Cease has been pitching well lately. In his last three appearances Cease is 2-0 with just one earned on four hits and six walks in 15.2 innings total. As for Meyer, he’s got 10 earned in his last 9.0 innings during a pair of losses.
On Saturday the Padres really got it going on offense late in the game, notching five runs between the seventh and eighth innings. San Diego used five arms out of the pen and didn’t record a particularly good pitching outing. That said I think they’re in line for another win in the finale if all goes well.