| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 43-45 | 59-31 |
| Spread | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -109 |
| Moneyline | +183 | -225 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-118) | Under 9.5 (-102) |
| Where | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California | |
| When | Sunday, July 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:20 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC | |
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 43-45 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 224 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and have a .373 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 95 hits and 33 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 138 hits and 66 RBI.
JP Sears gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-1 with a 6.97 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. This will be Sears’ second career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 59-31 on the year and play the Rockies and Diamondbacks next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .265 on the season and have a .348 OBP and a .443 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 97 hits and 49 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 182 hits and 113 RBI.
Emmet Sheehan gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 4-5 with a 5.08 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Sheehan is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have won each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in 21 of their last 23 day games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium against National League opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won six of their last eight Sunday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost three of their last four Sunday games as home favorites.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Dodgers’ last nine home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Padres’ last four games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last six day games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of JP Sears’ last seven appearances as a starter.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Emmet Sheehan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.403) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- JP Sears has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
- Luis Campusano has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.443).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.348).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.224).
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (335).
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
After two low-scoring games, I expect offense in this spot. Sears has a 6.97 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 10.1 innings. Sheehan has a 5.08 ERA and 1.27 WHIP through 72.2 innings. In 37 innings at home, Sheehan has a 5.11 ERA and a .261 allowed batting average. In 21 innings in June, Sheehan has allowed 20 hits and 14 runs. We have two pitchers in terrible form right now. Expect the lineups to flex their muscle a bit. Give me the over.