LA Dodgers (98-64) vs San Diego Padres (95-69)
Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:38 pm (Dodger Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -149 / San Diego Padres +126 — Over/Under: 8
The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB playoffs action from Dodger Stadium. This will be the first installment in a best-of-five postseason series. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Padres vs Dodgers pick. We will examine:
The San Diego Padres’ recent form and player performance
The Los Angeles Dodgers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent betting trends in games played between Padres and Dodgers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Dodgers game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres matched up against the Atlanta Braves in the Wild Card Series this week, earning a pair of victories to move on. San Diego posted a 4-0 win Tuesday and a 5-4 victory in game two, both at home. In the Wednesday win, the Padres scored all five of their runs in the second inning on the way to 10 team hits. Kyle Higashioka came away with a solo homer in the victory.
In the starter slot for the Saturday opener, the Padres will send out Dylan Cease. This regular season Cease went 14-11 with a 3.47 ERA in 33 starts. Cease has just two games (one start) in his postseason career, notching a 10.13 ERA in 2.2 innings of work. The winner of this series will take on the Mets or Phillies in the NLCS.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
Over on the Dodgers’ side, they had the best record in baseball this year at 98-64. Los Angeles finished three games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for the top spot in the league and won the National League West Division by five games over the aforementioned Padres.
LA will trot out Yoshinobu Yamamoto as their Game 1 starter on Saturday. This season Yamamoto posted a 7-2 record with a 3.00 ERA in the first 18 starts of his career. After pitching for just 2.0 innings against the Royals, Yamamoto logged 3+ innings in each of his last four starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Dodgers’ last three night games against NL West opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four games as home favorites.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in two of the Dodgers’ last three games as favorites.
- Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Double in four of the Dodgers’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Dodgers’ last 11 games against NL opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Dodgers’ last five night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games at Dodger Stadium.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Saturday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Chris Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Dodgers as favorites.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (59) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded an RBI in five of the Padres’ last six games against the Dodgers.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Padres’ last eight road playoff games.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last four playoff games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Padres as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Luis Campusano has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Dodgers after not playing the previous day.
- Luis Campusano has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Luis Arraez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.314) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (815).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1077).
- The San Diego Padres are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank in the top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
I might take a stab at the Padres here. Both starters could use a good outing regardless, though. Cease posted three earned on five hits and three walks against the Dodgers back on September 25 in his most recent outing. That said, Cease was 2-0 with no earned in 14.1 innings over his previous two starts. As for Yamamoto, he’s coming off a win on September 28 with two earned in 5.0 innings at Coors Field. He had four earned in 3.0 innings at home versus the Rockies in the start before that, though.
San Diego had one big inning of output in their Wednesday victory but couldn’t cash in on anything else along the way to a tight win. Still, 15 combined hits and nine runs in two games is pretty good by most metrics. If the Padres can keep the bats going Saturday they should have a great shot at another W.