San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

The San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies meet Sunday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Nick Pivetta for the start here, and Pivetta is 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rockies, Pivetta is 1-4 with an 11.05 ERA and 25 strikeouts. German Marquez will get the start for Colorado here and is 0-6 with a 9.90 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Marquez is 3-1 with a 4.97 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to build on their 21-0 win over the Rockies from Saturday’s victory to improve to 25-13 on the year. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Padres Win 8 Of Their Last 10 Games

Manny Machado has 46 hits, including a team-high 14 doubles and 7 stolen bases, while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 46 hits with a team-high 9 home runs and 22 RBIs, along with 8 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 39 hits with 4 doubles, 2 triples, 3 home runs, and 15 RBIs, while Jackson Merrill’s added 25 hits with 4 home runs and 16 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 9 doubles and 6 stolen bases this season. Gavin Sheets also has 7 doubles, 5 home runs, and 21 RBIs this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last 14 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last eight games.
• Nick Pivetta ranks T5th in the league for Wins (5) this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to rebound after another frustrating performance following Saturday’s defeat to fall to 6-33 on the year. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Rockies Drop 8th In A Row

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 37 hits, including 7 doubles, a team-high 5 home runs, and 19 RBIs, while Michael Toglia has 27 hits with 7 doubles, 5 home runs, and 16 RBIs but also has a team-high 53 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has a team-high 10 doubles while Jordan Beck has 6 home runs, 13 RBIs, 3 triples, and 4 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 26 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs, 17 RBIs, and 4 stolen bases.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Padres have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Rockies following a win.
• The Rockies have won four of their last six games as home underdogs against the Padres following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• German Marquez has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances with the Rockies as underdogs against the Padres.
• Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• German Marquez has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 23 appearances in day games.
• Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Padres.
• Kris Bryant has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Padres.
• German Marquez has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Padres.
• German Marquez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Padres’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the over here. The Padres beat up on the Rockies on Saturday, and the Rockies continue to struggle to do damage. The Rockies though, have been a team that Nick Pivetta has struggled against on the road for the better part of his career, and while the Rockies did nothing against Pivetta earlier this season (they were actually shut out in that entire series), Pivetta’s struggled in his career starts at Coors and even if the Rockies get stymied again I think the Padres could once again get over the total themselves here. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 11.5