Boston Red Sox (43-37) vs San Diego Padres (44-41)
Game Info: Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -147 / San Diego Padres +124 — Over/Under:
The San Diego Padres and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Red Sox game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
This week the Padres took on the Washington Nationals. San Diego did a great job in that set, posting a sweep with wins 7-6, 9-7 and 8-5. In the Friday opener versus the Red Sox, San Diego scored all their runs in the fifth inning during a 9-2 win. Starter Randy Vasquez lasted 4.0 innings with one earned run.
In the starter slot for the Padres on Saturday it’ll be Michael King. So far this year King is 5-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 17 games (16 starts). King is 18-22 with a 3.48 ERA in 132 career games (35 starts).
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the rival Toronto Blue Jays this week. After splitting the first pair 7-6 (win) and 9-4 (loss), Boston saw game three get suspended early due to rain (it’ll be made up in August). On Friday the Sox were out-hit 12-8 in the defeat. Nick Pivetta had 4.0 innings in the start with five earned runs.
Tanner Houck will take the mound for the starting role on Saturday. This year Houck is 7-5 with a 2.18 ERA in 16 starts. Houck has a career record of 22-24 with a 3.37 ERA in 90 games (57 starts) total.
Padres vs Red Sox Pick Injury Notes
Padres SP Yu Darvish had imaging on his right elbow come back clean this week.
Red Sox RP Liam Hendricks (elbow) threw a bullpen session Wednesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four road games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Fenway Park.
- Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as favorites.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last five games at Fenway Park.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Red Sox.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four Saturday day appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- David Peralta has recorded at least one Double in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Red Sox.
- Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last four games.
San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’ll stay with the Red Sox I suppose. Houck is pitching pretty well lately—and most of the year overall. In his last three starts combined Houck is 1-0 with seven earned in 18.1 innings total. As for King, he’s coming off five earned over 6.0 innings in a loss to the Brewers but was pitching pretty well before that.
On Friday the Red Sox had a pretty middling night offensively with Rafael Devers’ solo homer and Ceddanne Rafaela’s three hits being the highlights. The ugly fifth inning was another story altogether. Boston should be able to bounce back, though.