Rockies vs Phillies Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rockies vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 10th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 16-24 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 9-7 and 3-9. In game two, Colorado led 1-0 in the second inning and only trailed 5-3 in the fourth, but they allowed the last four runs in the lopsided loss. The Rockies recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Karros, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Freeland allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Gordon allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Colorado lost two out of three against the Mets and all three against the Braves. 

This season, Colorado has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .269 opponent batting average, while they have scored 175 runs with a .252 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Mickey Moniak has led the Rockies with 11 home runs and 21 RBIs, while TJ Rumfield has added five home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 3-2 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-22 this season after they won game two by a score of 9-3 on Saturday evening. Philadelphia scored five runs in the third inning and never looked back in the blowout win. The Phillies recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Bohm, who went 3-4 with two home runs and four RBIs. Nola allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Mayza picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Athletics and three out of four against the Marlins. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .272 opponent batting average, while they have scored 164 runs with a .235 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 14 home runs and 25 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 3-2 with a 2.42 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against the Rockies at Citizens Bank Park following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against the Rockies.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Rockies have won six of their last nine games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six Sunday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Rockies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against the Phillies.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rockies’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Rockies and Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Rockies.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Karros has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Rockies as underdogs.
• Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last five games at Citizens Bank Park.

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to bounce back on Saturday with a blowout win to tie the series and they have scored 6+ runs in four of their last five games. The Phillies are 11-12 at home this year, while the Rockies are 8-13 on the road. Colorado has allowed 7+ runs in three of their last four games, but they are starting Sugano, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. There is very little value with the Phillies in this spot, but I will still take them -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5