Reds vs Mets Prediction 5/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 26th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-25 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-2 on Monday afternoon. Cincinnati scored all seven runs in the first four innings, which was enough to cruise to the victory. The Reds recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Steer, who went 1-4 with three RBIs. Lodolo allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Burke allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati split two games with the Cardinals and won two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 236 runs with a .226 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 35 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 6-1 with a 1.83 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 59.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 22-32 this season after they lost game one by a score of 7-2 on Monday. New York fell behind early in the game, but they scored one run in the sixth and one in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Semien, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. McLean allowed five hits and seven earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Pintaro threw 2.2 innings in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Marlins and split four games with the Nationals. 

This season, New York has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 208 runs with a .227 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with six home runs and 23 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is TBD. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last four night games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Reds have lost nine of their last 11 night games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have won four of their last five road games against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Mets’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Reds’ last nine road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Chase Burns’ last seven road appearances as a starter.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets’ last six night games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citi Field.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 road games against NL opponents.

Reds vs Mets Prediction

New York comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have scored a total of four runs during those four games. The Mets are 11-14 at home this year, while the Reds are 14-13 on the road. Cincinnati has won four of their last five games and they have scored 7+ runs in three of their last four. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. We can’t trust this New York offense right now, so take the Reds here.

David Racey's Pick: Reds ML